Bolivia - LFPBEstadio Victor Agustín UgarteData current as of 17 October 2026

Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional Potosí play Bolívar in LFPB (Bolivia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte.

Current form

Nacional Potosí: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Bolívar: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional Potosí scores 1.52 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Bolívar scores 2.62 and concedes 1.05. League average: 3.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional Potosí 57%, Bolívar 67%. Over 2.5: Nacional Potosí 62%, Bolívar 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Bolívar has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.45. Nacional Potosí: 13.1 shots per match, Bolívar: 18.9.

Match halves

Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Bolívar: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.48.

Goals by minute

Nacional Potosí: 31-45+ (8 goals). Bolívar: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LFPB: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.13)
(4.05)
(1.62)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.52Goals scored / match2.62
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.43Goals conceded / match1.05
Nacional PotosíBolívar
54%Average possession63%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
4.71Shots on target / match7.76
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.05Shots per match18.95
Nacional PotosíBolívar
4.71Shots on target7.76
Nacional PotosíBolívar
11.7%Shot conversion13.8%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
54%Possession63%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.45xG for2.11
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.64xG against1.2
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Shooting quality

Nacional Potosí: BalancedBolívar: Dominant
Nacional PotosíBolívar
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bolívar is 114% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 3 pts / match - Bolívar

Nacional Potosí
LWWLD
Season result split
38% W19% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-9
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Bolívar
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
71% W14% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-3-3
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.28Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolívar is 72% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 2.62 goals / match - Bolívar

Bolívar is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.05 goals / match - Bolívar

Nacional Potosí scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Potosí scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Bolívar keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

Bolívar scoring profile: very strong

Bolívar scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

32Goals scored (season)55
Nacional PotosíBolívar
30Goals conceded (season)22
Nacional PotosíBolívar
2.95Average goals in match3.67
Nacional PotosíBolívar
7Goals scored (last 5)15
Nacional PotosíBolívar
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
Nacional PotosíBolívar

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal90%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
43%2 goals71%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%3 goals43%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
5%4 goals43%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
43%2 goals29%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%3 goals5%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
10%4 goals0%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
Nacional Potosí - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 21 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time33%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
24%Scored in both halves62%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
40%BTTS - last 560%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bolívar is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.62 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.81 pts / match - Bolívar

Nacional Potosí - half-time state
43% leading33% draw24% trailing
Bolívar - half-time state
48% leading38% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.62Points per match (1st half)1.81
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.14
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.62
Nacional PotosíBolívar
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
52%No goal before half-time24%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.9
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1.48
Nacional PotosíBolívar
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Nacional PotosíBolívar
1.76Average goals (2nd half)2.05
Nacional PotosíBolívar
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Nacional PotosíBolívar
38%No goal after half-time24%
Nacional PotosíBolívar

Nacional Potosí - second-half results

43% W10% D48% L
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bolívar - second-half results

52% W33% D14% L
38
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nacional Potosí - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bolívar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+7+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional Potosí
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
3
61-75
6
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Bolívar
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
10
2
16-30
9
6
31-45
11
4
46-60
8
2
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional Potosí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Bolívar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.91
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
213%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.71
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).

Teams vs league

Nacional PotosíLigaBolívar
Average goals in match▼ 2.953.08▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▼ 57%61%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 62%62%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 29%23%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%• 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.08
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.85
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+50%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nacional Potosí 0 - 2 - 1 Bolívar. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Nacional Potosí and Bolívar play?

Nacional Potosí face Bolívar on 18 October 2026 in LFPB at Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Potosí and Bolívar?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0, Bolívar won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?

Nacional Potosí score 1.52 goals per game on average and Bolívar 2.62. The LFPB average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 67% of Bolívar's.

What form are Nacional Potosí and Bolívar in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bolívar 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.