Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nacional Potosí played Independiente Petrolero in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Nacional Potosí: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Independiente Petrolero: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nacional Potosí scores 1.68 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Independiente Petrolero scores 1.72 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nacional Potosí 60%, Independiente Petrolero 72%. Over 2.5: Nacional Potosí 60%, Independiente Petrolero 68%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente Petrolero has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Nacional Potosí: 13.2 shots per match, Independiente Petrolero: 14.3.

Match halves

Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.84. Independiente Petrolero: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.12.

Goals by minute

Nacional Potosí: 76-90+ (12 goals). Independiente Petrolero: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LFPB: 3.46 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
21Shots7
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
13Shots on target3
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
2.55xG0.91
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
2Corners3
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
45Dangerous attacks35
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
16Fouls9
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
3Cards2
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
1.68Goals scored / match1.72
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
1.36Goals conceded / match1.92
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
51%Average possession51%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
4.32Shots on target / match4.84
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.24Shots per match14.32
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
4.32Shots on target4.84
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
12.7%Shot conversion12%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
51%Possession51%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
1.4xG for1.51
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
1.55xG against1.72
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

Shooting quality

Nacional Potosí: BalancedIndependiente Petrolero: Attacking
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente Petrolero is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero

Nacional Potosí
DLWWD
Season result split
32% W28% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-10
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Independiente Petrolero
LWLWW
Season result split
40% W24% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-9
1.44 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nacional Potosí is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.36 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.92 goals / match - Independiente Petrolero

Nacional Potosí scoring profile: very strong

Nacional Potosí scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Independiente Petrolero keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).

Independiente Petrolero scoring profile: very strong

Independiente Petrolero scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).

42Goals scored (season)43
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
34Goals conceded (season)48
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
3.04Average goals in match3.64
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
10Goals scored (last 5)9
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal84%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
52%2 goals48%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
24%3 goals24%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
12%4 goals12%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal84%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
44%2 goals56%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
8%3 goals32%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
0%4 goals16%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Nacional Potosí - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 25 matches
72%
Independiente Petrolero - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 25 matches
65%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time20%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
0%BTTS in both halves12%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
32%Scored in both halves28%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
80%BTTS - last 580%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time72%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time32%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nacional Potosí is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.16 pts / match - Independiente Petrolero

Nacional Potosí - half-time state
44% leading24% draw32% trailing
Independiente Petrolero - half-time state
28% leading32% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.16
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
0.84Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.4
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
56%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
52%No goal before half-time56%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

After half-time (2nd half)

1.44Points per match (2nd half)1.28
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)1.12
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.12
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
1.64Average goals (2nd half)2.24
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
44%Clean sheet after half-time28%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
44%No goal after half-time32%
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

Nacional Potosí - second-half results

36% W36% D28% L
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding73%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Independiente Petrolero - second-half results

28% W44% D28% L
29
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nacional Potosí - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Independiente Petrolero - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nacional Potosí
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
8
31-45
1
7
46-60
8
2
61-75
12
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Independiente Petrolero
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
2
4
16-30
10
9
31-45
10
9
46-60
5
9
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.34
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nacional Potosí

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Independiente Petrolero

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).

Teams vs league

Nacional PotosíLigaIndependiente Petrolero
Average goals in match 3.043.46 3.64
Both teams scored 60%65% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%65% 68%
Clean sheets 16%20% 16%
Goal before half-time 76%80% 76%
Goal after half-time 80%87% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.46
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
2.11
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Nacional PotosíYellow cardWilliam Álvarez
  2. Independiente PetroleroRed cardDiego Fernando Navarro Iturri
  3. Nacional PotosíYellow cardLuis Fernando Pavia Mamani
  4. Nacional PotosíSubstitutionOn: Saulo Henry Guerra PérezOff: Luis Fernando Pavia Mamani
  5. Independiente PetroleroGoalDamián VillalbaAssist: David Morales
  6. Nacional PotosíGoalWilliam Álvarez
  7. Independiente PetroleroSubstitutionOn: Alán Jorge Mercado BerthaletOff: Gustavo Alberto Cristaldo Britez
  8. Nacional PotosíSubstitutionOn: Daniel Mancilla DuránOff: Javier Guerra
  9. Independiente PetroleroSubstitutionOn: Willie Hortencio BarbosaOff: Damián Villalba
  10. Nacional PotosíYellow cardJorge Hugo Rojas

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Nacional Potosí 0 - 1 - 0 Independiente Petrolero. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Club Independiente Petrolero
1 : 1
CA Nacional Potosí

FAQ

What was the result of Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero?

The LFPB match finished Nacional Potosí 2:1 Independiente Petrolero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosí score 1.68 goals per game on average and Independiente Petrolero 1.72. The LFPB average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 72% of Independiente Petrolero's.

What form are Nacional Potosí and Independiente Petrolero in?

Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Independiente Petrolero 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.