Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest: match statistics
Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Potosí played The Strongest in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 5 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Nacional Potosí: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. The Strongest: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Potosí scores 1.42 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. The Strongest scores 1.42 and concedes 0.83. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Potosí 67%, The Strongest 67%. Over 2.5: Nacional Potosí 50%, The Strongest 42%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
The Strongest has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.29. Nacional Potosí: 11.4 shots per match, The Strongest: 16.7.
Match halves
Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. The Strongest: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Nacional Potosí: 61-75 (5 goals). The Strongest: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional Potosí are clearly more effective at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while The Strongest score 1.17 goals away from home and fail to find the net in 33% of such fixtures. The hosts have won 60% of their home matches, with just 20% ending in defeat, and their last five home appearances produced three victories. The Strongest remain unbeaten in the competition overall, but have drawn four of their last five matches and scored just 5 goals during that period. The visitors are defensively solid away from home, conceding an average of 0.67 goals, but Nacional Potosí generate 1.53 xG at home and average 5 shots on target. The hosts’ attacking edge and home advantage give them a slight upper hand, although The Strongest’s high tendency to draw makes a share of the points a very realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Nacional Potosí have recorded BTTS in 83% of their matches this season, compared with 50% for The Strongest, while both teams produced this outcome in as many as 80% of their last five fixtures. During this period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, whereas the visitors scored an average of 1.0 goal and created chances worth 1.56 xG. Nacional Potosí average 1.67 goals per game this season and register 5.5 shots on target per match, which should seriously test the opposition’s defence despite its 50% clean-sheet rate. The Strongest have a solid average of just 0.67 goals conceded, but their recent xG against stands at 1.42, while the hosts boast a season xG of 1.70. Further support for goals at both ends comes from the league’s BTTS frequency of 69% and a high average of 3.11 goals per match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nacional Potosí score an average of 1.67 goals at home, while The Strongest average 1.17 away, providing a solid foundation for at least two goals. The hosts have conceded in 83% of their matches, while their average xG against is 1.44, so the visitors should create chances. Nacional have seen at least two goals in 83% of their matches, and both teams have scored in 80% of their last five outings. The combined expected xG of both teams stands at 3.31, although The Strongest’s solid defence, conceding only 0.67 goals per away game, reduces confidence in a high Over 2.5 outcome. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as it combines the hosts’ high scoring consistency with the vulnerability of their defence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most justified outcome, as Nacional Potosí were level at the break in 5 of their 6 home matches, while The Strongest have been level at half-time in half of their away fixtures. In their last five appearances, The Strongest went into the break level on 4 occasions and also finished 4 of those matches with the points shared. The attacking potential of both sides is comparable: their average xG stands at 1.70 for Nacional and 1.61 for The Strongest, which does not indicate a clear advantage for either team. The visitors concede an average of just 0.67 goals away from home and have kept a clean sheet after half-time in 100% of such matches, so it may be difficult for the hosts to turn a level start into a victory. The X/X scenario best combines both teams’ strong tendency to draw with the evenly matched quality of the chances they create.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Potosí | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The Strongest is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 0.83 goals / match - The Strongest
Nacional Potosí scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while The Strongest keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
The Strongest scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional Potosí
Over / Under — The Strongest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional Potosí is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.17 pts / match - The Strongest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Potosí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
The Strongest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Potosí | Liga | The Strongest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.00 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nacional Potosí 0 - 0 - 2 The Strongest. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest?
The LFPB match finished Nacional Potosí 2:3 The Strongest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Potosí and The Strongest?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0, The Strongest won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest?
Nacional Potosí score 1.42 goals per game on average and The Strongest 1.42. The LFPB average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 67% of The Strongest's.
What form are Nacional Potosí and The Strongest in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and The Strongest 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.