Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto: match statistics
Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional Potosí play Universitario de Vinto in LFPB (Bolivia). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 23:15. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nacional Potosí: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Universitario de Vinto: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional Potosí scores 1.30 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Universitario de Vinto scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional Potosí 70%, Universitario de Vinto 70%. Over 2.5: Nacional Potosí 50%, Universitario de Vinto 70%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Universitario de Vinto has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.30. Nacional Potosí: 11.4 shots per match, Universitario de Vinto: 16.8.
Match halves
Nacional Potosí: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00. Universitario de Vinto: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Nacional Potosí: 46-60 (4 goals). Universitario de Vinto: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Nacional Potosí is the favorite in this match: they sit 3rd in the table while Universitario de Vinto is 11th; this season the hosts have 1 win and 3 goals, the visitors 0 wins and 1 goal. In the last 5 matches Nacional scored 8 goals and won 3 games (form 'lwwlw'), averaging 1.6 goals per game, while conceding 5 goals (1.0 per game). Universitario de Vinto in the same period scored only 3 goals and lost all 5 matches ('lllll'), conceding 13 goals — on average 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded per game. The points differential confirms the hosts' advantage: Nacional records 1.8 points per game in the last 5 fixtures, the visitors 0 points, meaning the hosts convert chances into points more efficiently. Based on these figures (8:3 in goals scored over the last 5 matches and 5:13 in goals conceded) I predict a home win (tip '1').
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional Potosí | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Universitario de Vinto is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.2 pts / match - Universitario de Vinto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universitario de Vinto is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 1.5 goals / match - Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Nacional Potosí · 2 goals / match - Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Universitario de Vinto keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Universitario de Vinto scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Nacional Potosí keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional Potosí
Over / Under — Universitario de Vinto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional Potosí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Universitario de Vinto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Nacional Potosí | Liga | Universitario de Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 21% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nacional Potosí 1 - 1 - 0 Universitario de Vinto. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto?
The LFPB match finished Nacional Potosí 1:0 Universitario de Vinto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional Potosí and Universitario de Vinto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 1, Universitario de Vinto won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto?
Nacional Potosí score 1.30 goals per game on average and Universitario de Vinto 1.50. The LFPB average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Nacional Potosí's matches and 70% of Universitario de Vinto's.
What form are Nacional Potosí and Universitario de Vinto in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional Potosí have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Universitario de Vinto 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.