Nacional vs Albion: match statistics
Nacional vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional played Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 14 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Gran Parque Central. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Albion: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional scores 1.51 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Albion scores 1.34 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional 54%, Albion 60%. Over 2.5: Nacional 57%, Albion 57%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.28. Nacional: 11.3 shots per match, Albion: 9.6.
Match halves
Nacional: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.89. Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Nacional: 76-90+ (15 goals). Albion: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional sit 2nd in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while sixth-placed Albion have recorded 3 wins over the same period. At home, the hosts score an average of 1.61 goals per match, compared with Albion’s 1.06 goals away, and also take more shots: 12.22 to 8.94. Their edge in chance quality is reflected in xG: Nacional average 1.57 at home and concede 0.93, while Albion’s away figures are 1.17 and 1.40, respectively. Both teams concede an average of 1 goal at these venues, so the visitors could remain competitive; however, the hosts win 56% of their home matches, while Albion win 41% of their away games. These differences point to a Nacional win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 67% of Nacional’s matches and 53% of Albion’s, both above the league average of 51%. Over their last 5 matches, those figures rose to 80% and 60%, respectively, with both teams conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game during that period. Nacional score an average of 1.61 goals per match this season, compared with 1.06 for Albion; the visitors’ chances of scoring are supported by the fact that the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals per game and keep a clean sheet in only 17% of matches. In turn, Nacional’s attack could exploit an Albion defence that allowed opponents chances worth an average of 1.87 xG over its last 5 matches. The risk for the BTTS - Yes pick is that Albion have failed to score in 24% of their matches, but the BTTS frequency and both teams’ recent results point to goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nacional average 1.61 goals scored, while Albion concede 1.00; over their last five matches, the hosts have already averaged 1.8 goals. Albion average 1.06 goals scored, but Nacional concede 1.50, which also increases the likelihood of an away goal. The last five matches for both teams have averaged 3.0 goals, with at least three goals scored in 80% and 60% of those matches, respectively. However, the gap in the teams’ season-long rates of matches with at least three goals—72% for Nacional and 41% for Albion—weakens the case for a higher line. With a projected total of 2.77 goals, Over 1.5 goals is therefore the safest pick, with an estimated probability of 76%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nacional led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with Albion in just 1 of 5, pointing to a home advantage in the first half. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.8 goals, compared with Albion’s 3 wins and 1.4 goals. Their attacking edge is also supported by an average xG of 1.38 versus 1.17 for the visitors. Nacional drew the second half in 4 of their last 5 matches, giving them a basis to hold on to a lead once ahead. The 1/1 HT/FT outcome remains only a moderate favourite, however, as the hosts led at the break in just 22% of their matches this season, while Albion were level at half-time in 47%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Albion is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Nacional · 2.6 pts / match - Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.51 goals / match - Nacional · 1.34 goals / match - Albion
Nacional is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Nacional · 1.26 goals / match - Albion
Nacional scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
Albion scores in 74% of matches (26 of 35 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional
Over / Under - Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Nacional · 1.14 pts / match - Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional
Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 44% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nacional 1 - 0 - 1 Albion. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional vs Albion?
The Primera División match finished Nacional 1:1 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Albion?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1, Albion won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Albion?
Nacional score 1.51 goals per game on average and Albion 1.34. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Nacional's matches and 60% of Albion's.
What form are Nacional and Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Albion 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nacional vs Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.