Nacional vs Peñarol: match statistics
Nacional vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional played Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nacional: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional scores 2.00 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.75 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional 59%, Peñarol 50%. Over 2.5: Nacional 64%, Peñarol 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.79. Nacional: 14.7 shots per match, Peñarol: 15.3.
Match halves
Nacional: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.05. Peñarol: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Nacional: 31-45+ (19 goals). Peñarol: 46-60 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nacional · 2 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Nacional · 1.75 goals / match - Peñarol
Nacional scores in 79% of matches (31 of 39 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 38% (15 of 40 matches).
Peñarol scores in 85% of matches (34 of 40 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional
Over / Under - Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Nacional · 1.53 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 61% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Nacional 0 - 3 - 1 Peñarol. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Nacional 1:0 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Peñarol?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0, Peñarol won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Peñarol?
Nacional score 2.00 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.75. The Primera División average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Nacional's matches and 50% of Peñarol's.
What form are Nacional and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Peñarol?
The statistical background for Nacional vs Peñarol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.