Nacional vs Wanderers: match statistics
Wanderers presents a notably better away form with a 100% away win rate (2 wins out of 2) and an average of 1.5 goals scored per away match. Nacional, on the other hand, has not won a single home game this season (0% Win%) and has a negative goal difference (-1) in home matches. Efficiency is also a key factor - Wanderers has a 20% shot conversion rate in away matches, whereas Nacional has merely 5% at home. Wanderers also maintains a 50% clean sheet rate away, which, combined with Nacional's weak offense (averaging 0.5 goals at home), gives the visitors a distinct advantage. The recent form of both teams (Nacional: WDWLL vs Wanderers: DWLWD) and Wanderers' points advantage (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) further support betting on an away win.
Nacional vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nacional played Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Nacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Wanderers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nacional scores 1.00 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Wanderers scores 0.80 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional 60%, Wanderers 40%. Over 2.5: Nacional 40%, Wanderers 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.39. Nacional: 11.6 shots per match, Wanderers: 10.0.
Match halves
Nacional: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Wanderers: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Nacional: 16-30 (1 goals). Wanderers: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wanderers presents a notably better away form with a 100% away win rate (2 wins out of 2) and an average of 1.5 goals scored per away match. Nacional, on the other hand, has not won a single home game this season (0% Win%) and has a negative goal difference (-1) in home matches. Efficiency is also a key factor - Wanderers has a 20% shot conversion rate in away matches, whereas Nacional has merely 5% at home. Wanderers also maintains a 50% clean sheet rate away, which, combined with Nacional's weak offense (averaging 0.5 goals at home), gives the visitors a distinct advantage. The recent form of both teams (Nacional: WDWLL vs Wanderers: DWLWD) and Wanderers' points advantage (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) further support betting on an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nacional · 0.8 goals / match - Wanderers
Nacional scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Wanderers scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nacional
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nacional
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.20 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nacional 1 - 1 - 0 Wanderers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nacional vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Nacional 2:0 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Wanderers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1, Wanderers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nacional vs Wanderers?
Nacional score 1.00 goals per game on average and Wanderers 0.80. The Primera División average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nacional's matches and 40% of Wanderers's.
What form are Nacional and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Nacional have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Wanderers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nacional vs Wanderers?
The statistical background for Nacional vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.