Nafta vs Mura: match statistics
Nafta vs Mura: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nafta played Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Športni park Lendava. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Nafta: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Mura: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nafta scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mura scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nafta 0%, Mura 50%. Over 2.5: Nafta 50%, Mura 50%. League level: BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Nafta has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.05. Nafta: 14.5 shots per match, Mura: 8.0.
Match halves
Nafta: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Mura: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Nafta: 76-90+ (2 goals). Mura: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 22%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mura is the favorite: Nafta have lost 100% of home matches and average 0.0 goals scored per home game with 100% of home matches goalless, while Mura average 2.0 goals away and have 0% goalless away matches. In the last 5 meetings Mura have scored 9 goals and recorded 3 wins, whereas Nafta have 5 goals and a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss; Mura average 2.0 points per game in the last 5, Nafta 1.6. Nafta generate higher home xG (1.84) and average 15 shots per game (6 on target), but home conversion is 0%, indicating finishing issues. Both teams concede around 2.0 goals per game (Nafta 2.0 at home, Mura 2.0 away), but Mura’s higher efficiency (17% conversion) and no goalless games for the visitors tilt the edge in Mura’s favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Nafta: at home they have a 100% clean sheet rate this season and the hosts’ seasonal BTTS is 0%, while league-wide BTTS occurs in only 22% of matches with 89% of games ending in a clean sheet. Mura, meanwhile, averages 2.0 goals per game this season and has a seasonal BTTS of 100%; in the last 5 fixtures Mura recorded BTTS in 60% of cases (Mura scored 9 goals in 5 matches versus Nafta’s 5). Offensively Mura holds the edge: xG per game 1.39 vs 0.71 for Nafta, on average 12 shots vs 4 and 4 shots on target vs 2, which increases the likelihood of the away team scoring. However, Nafta’s last 5 matches show xG of 1.7 and they concede only 0.6 goals on average, suggesting a strong home defense. Considering these signals, I favor the 'No' scenario, estimating its probability at 65% vs 35% for 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimated expected goals as the average of home attack xG and away defense xG: Nafta (0.71 + 1.57)/2 = 1.14, Mura (1.39 + 1.51)/2 = 1.45, total 2.59. For a Poisson distribution with a sum of 2.59, the probability of over 1.5 goals (>=2) is about 73%, over 2.5 (>=3) ~48%, and over 3.5 (>=4) ~26%. Mura scores on average 2.0 goals per match this season, averages 12.0 shots and 4.0 on target, and has BTTS 100% in away games, which increases the likelihood of more goals. Nafta at home has 100% clean sheets this season, averages only 4.0 shots with 2.0 on target and a low attacking xG of 0.71, but their xG against of 1.51 indicates a risk of conceding; therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 with a 73% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors (Mura) are the favorites: their average xG is 1.39 versus Nafta’s 0.71, and their average shots are 12 versus 4, which demonstrates a clear offensive advantage for Mura. In the last five matches Mura led at the break in 80% of games (4 of 5) and scored seven first-half goals, while Nafta had only two such goals, so the visitors more often score in the first half. Nafta, however, has a seasonal average of 0.0 goals conceded at HT and 100% clean sheets at Half-Time (1 of 1), whereas Mura concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match, which may limit the margin of the home side’s defeat. Overall, considering xG, 12 vs 4 shots and Mura’s 80% share of leads at the break, the most likely scenario is 2/2 (50%); an alternative is a draw at half-time and a Mura comeback to win X/2 (12%); other outcomes carry lower probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nafta | Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mura is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Nafta · 2 pts / match - Mura
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nafta scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Mura keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Mura scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nafta
Over / Under — Mura
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mura is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Nafta · 3 pts / match - Mura
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nafta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nafta
Mura
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Nafta | Liga | Mura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.33 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nafta vs Mura?
The PrvaLiga match finished Nafta 5:2 Mura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nafta vs Mura?
Nafta score 1.50 goals per game on average and Mura 1.50. The PrvaLiga average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Nafta's matches and 50% of Mura's.
What form are Nafta and Mura in?
Over the last 5 games Nafta have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Mura 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nafta vs Mura?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.