Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka: match statistics
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Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nagoya Grampus play Cerezo Osaka in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 21 October 2026.
Current form
Nagoya Grampus: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Cerezo Osaka: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nagoya Grampus scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Cerezo Osaka scores 0.78 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nagoya Grampus 56%, Cerezo Osaka 33%. Over 2.5: Nagoya Grampus 67%, Cerezo Osaka 33%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Nagoya Grampus has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.31. Nagoya Grampus: 13.8 shots per match, Cerezo Osaka: 11.4.
Match halves
Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Cerezo Osaka: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). Cerezo Osaka: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerezo Osaka is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus · 1.2 pts / match - Cerezo Osaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nagoya Grampus is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus · 0.78 goals / match - Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus · 1.33 goals / match - Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Cerezo Osaka keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Cerezo Osaka scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nagoya Grampus
Over / Under - Cerezo Osaka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerezo Osaka is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.56 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus · 1.11 pts / match - Cerezo Osaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nagoya Grampus - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerezo Osaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Nagoya Grampus | Liga | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 89% | 88% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 - 0 Cerezo Osaka. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka play?
Nagoya Grampus face Cerezo Osaka on 21 October 2026 in J1 League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nagoya Grampus won 1, Cerezo Osaka won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cerezo Osaka 0.78. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Nagoya Grampus's matches and 33% of Cerezo Osaka's.
What form are Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka in?
Over the last 5 games Nagoya Grampus have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cerezo Osaka 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.