Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: match statistics
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Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nagoya Grampus play Machida Zelvia in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Toyota Stadium.
Current form
Nagoya Grampus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Machida Zelvia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nagoya Grampus scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Machida Zelvia scores 3.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nagoya Grampus 60%, Machida Zelvia 80%. Over 2.5: Nagoya Grampus 80%, Machida Zelvia 80%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Machida Zelvia has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.64. Nagoya Grampus: 14.2 shots per match, Machida Zelvia: 16.0.
Match halves
Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Machida Zelvia: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.80.
Goals by minute
Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). Machida Zelvia: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Machida Zelvia is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus · 2.6 pts / match - Machida Zelvia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Machida Zelvia is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus · 3 goals / match - Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus · 0.8 goals / match - Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Machida Zelvia scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nagoya Grampus
Over / Under - Machida Zelvia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Machida Zelvia is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus · 1.8 pts / match - Machida Zelvia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nagoya Grampus - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Machida Zelvia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Nagoya Grampus | Liga | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.08 | ▲ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 - 2 Machida Zelvia. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia play?
Nagoya Grampus face Machida Zelvia on 6 September 2026 in J1 League at Toyota Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nagoya Grampus won 0, Machida Zelvia won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
Nagoya Grampus score 1.20 goals per game on average and Machida Zelvia 3.00. The J1 League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nagoya Grampus's matches and 80% of Machida Zelvia's.
What form are Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia in?
Over the last 5 games Nagoya Grampus have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Machida Zelvia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.