Japan - J1 LeagueToyota StadiumData current as of 22 October 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nagoya Grampus play Yokohama F. Marinos in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Toyota Stadium.

Current form

Nagoya Grampus: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Yokohama F. Marinos: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nagoya Grampus scores 1.18 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Yokohama F. Marinos scores 1.36 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nagoya Grampus 64%, Yokohama F. Marinos 45%. Over 2.5: Nagoya Grampus 64%, Yokohama F. Marinos 27%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Nagoya Grampus has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.30. Nagoya Grampus: 13.4 shots per match, Yokohama F. Marinos: 11.9.

Match halves

Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Yokohama F. Marinos: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Nagoya Grampus: 0-15 (4 goals). Yokohama F. Marinos: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.36)
(3.50)
(2.70)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
1.18Goals scored / match1.36
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
1.55Goals conceded / match1
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
57%Average possession50%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
3.73Shots on target / match3.27
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.36Shots per match11.91
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
3.73Shots on target3.27
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
8.8%Shot conversion11.5%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
57%Possession50%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
1.49xG for1.3
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
1.44xG against1.41
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

Shooting quality

Nagoya Grampus: BalancedYokohama F. Marinos: Balanced
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
Accuracy (shots on target)28%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nagoya Grampus
LLWWD
Season result split
36% W9% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-6
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Yokohama F. Marinos
DWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W45% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-2
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Yokohama F. Marinos is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus · 1.36 goals / match - Yokohama F. Marinos

Yokohama F. Marinos is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.55 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus · 1 goals / match - Yokohama F. Marinos

Nagoya Grampus scoring profile: mixed

Nagoya Grampus scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Yokohama F. Marinos keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).

Yokohama F. Marinos scoring profile: very strong

Yokohama F. Marinos scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).

13Goals scored (season)15
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
17Goals conceded (season)11
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
2.73Average goals in match2.36
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal82%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
36%2 goals45%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
18%3 goals9%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0%4 goals0%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal45%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
36%2 goals27%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
18%3 goals18%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0%4 goals9%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Yokohama F. Marinos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 11 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time18%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0%BTTS in both halves18%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
36%Scored in both halves45%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
60%BTTS - last 540%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Yokohama F. Marinos is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus · 2.09 pts / match - Yokohama F. Marinos

Nagoya Grampus - half-time state
18% leading45% draw36% trailing
Yokohama F. Marinos - half-time state
55% leading45% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2.09
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.73
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.18
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
1.27Average goals (1st half)0.91
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
27%Clean sheet before half-time82%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
55%No goal before half-time36%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.18
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
45%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos
45%No goal after half-time36%
Nagoya GrampusYokohama F. Marinos

Nagoya Grampus - second-half results

36% W18% D45% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Yokohama F. Marinos - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
23
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding65%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 36%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nagoya Grampus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Yokohama F. Marinos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nagoya Grampus
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Yokohama F. Marinos
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
0
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nagoya Grampus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Yokohama F. Marinos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Nagoya GrampusLigaYokohama F. Marinos
Average goals in match▼ 2.732.95▼ 2.36
Both teams scored▲ 64%56%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%56%▼ 27%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▲ 55%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%66%▼ 64%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%87%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Nagoya Grampus 1 - 0 - 1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 0
Yokohama F. Marinos

FAQ

When do Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos play?

Nagoya Grampus face Yokohama F. Marinos on 25 October 2026 in J1 League at Toyota Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nagoya Grampus won 1, Yokohama F. Marinos won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.18 goals per game on average and Yokohama F. Marinos 1.36. The J1 League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Nagoya Grampus's matches and 45% of Yokohama F. Marinos's.

What form are Nagoya Grampus and Yokohama F. Marinos in?

Over the last 5 games Nagoya Grampus have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

The statistical background for Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.