Nagykanizsai TE vs Soroksár SC: match statistics

Soroksár SC sit top of the table and remain unbeaten after three rounds, recording 2 wins and a draw with a 7:2 goal difference. The visitors also have slightly better current form: they have scored 10 goals and conceded only 3 in their last five matches, while Nagykanizsai TE have scored 7 and allowed their opponents 6. The hosts’ defensive performance at home could prove decisive, as they concede an average of as many as 3 goals per match, have yet to keep a clean sheet and lost their only home game so far. Soroksár create chances worth an average of 1.36 xG away from home, more than Nagykanizsai TE’s 1.26 xG at home, and also enjoy more possession, 56% compared to 44%. The hosts are efficient, averaging 2 goals scored at home, but the visitors’ advantage in season results and defensive organisation points to an away win.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Nagykanizsai TE’s defence: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches this season and conceded an average of 0.0 goals. Soroksár SC score an average of 2.0 goals per match, but BTTS has occurred in only 20% of their last five games, while the team conceded just 0.6 goals per match. The hosts are effective going forward, scoring an average of 2.5 goals, but their season BTTS rate stands at 0%, indicating that their matches more often end with one side failing to score. Nagykanizsai’s recent data is more open, with BTTS recorded in 60% of their last five matches; however, the hosts’ defensive advantage and the visitors’ strong defensive form outweigh the league BTTS average of 52%. A scenario in which at least one team fails to score is therefore slightly more likely than both teams finding the net.

The model expects 2.50 goals because the average xG of both teams over their last five matches stands at 1.39 for Nagykanizsai and 1.30 for Soroksár. The hosts conceded an average of 1.2 goals during this period, while their xG against reached 1.58, giving the visitors a realistic opportunity to score. Soroksár averaged 2.0 goals per match, whereas Nagykanizsai scored 1.4, so the prospect of at least two goals is well supported. In the teams’ last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of cases, but Soroksár’s solid defensive record, conceding only 0.6 goals per match, reduces confidence in a higher over. Therefore, the strongest selection is Over 1.5, rated at 72%, as it requires only two goals with the projection clearly above that threshold.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Nagykanizsai TE victory after the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 games, while Soroksár recorded the same outcome in 3 of 5. However, the home side has a better first-half record in the latest sample: they score an average of 0.8 goals and concede 0.4, whereas the visitors average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. At home, Nagykanizsai TE have won 100% of their matches so far, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding none, which strongly supports a home win in the full-time result. The hosts also register more shots on target, 4.5 compared with 2.0, and convert 29% of their attempts versus Soroksár’s 18%. The visitors are more dangerous after the break, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five matches, which is why the half-time draw remains a safer option than the hosts leading after 45 minutes.