Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nairobi United played Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nairobi United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gor Mahia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nairobi United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Gor Mahia scores 1.57 and concedes 0.79. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nairobi United 36%, Gor Mahia 36%. Over 2.5: Nairobi United 36%, Gor Mahia 29%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Nairobi United has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.54. Nairobi United: 10.1 shots per match, Gor Mahia: 9.9.
Match halves
Nairobi United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.29. Gor Mahia: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Nairobi United: 0-15 (10 goals). Gor Mahia: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nairobi United · 2 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Nairobi United · 1.57 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Nairobi United · 0.79 goals / match - Gor Mahia
Nairobi United scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
Gor Mahia scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nairobi United
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Nairobi United · 1.57 pts / match - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nairobi United
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 1.90 | ▲ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 30% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | • 36% | 37% | ▲ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 1:1 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia?
Nairobi United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.57. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Nairobi United's matches and 36% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are Nairobi United and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gor Mahia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Gor Mahia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.