Nairobi United vs Homeboyz: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter between Nairobi United and Homeboyz. The hosts have shown poor form in their last five matches (only 1 point per match), but their home record of 33% wins, draws, and losses indicates unpredictability. Homeboyz display better overall form (1.2 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (40% clean sheets); however, their away offense is weak (averaging 0.6 goals per match, 60% FTS%). Nairobi United averages 1.5 goals scored at home but also concedes 1.5, suggesting open matches. Given the even xG metrics (0.94 vs 0.92), similar possession (51% vs 49%), and recent form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this duel.
Nairobi United vs Homeboyz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nairobi United played Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Nairobi United: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Homeboyz: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nairobi United scores 1.24 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Homeboyz scores 1.18 and concedes 1.12. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nairobi United 47%, Homeboyz 53%. Over 2.5: Nairobi United 29%, Homeboyz 35%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Nairobi United has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Nairobi United: 10.3 shots per match, Homeboyz: 9.1.
Match halves
Nairobi United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.29. Homeboyz: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Nairobi United: 0-15 (12 goals). Homeboyz: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter between Nairobi United and Homeboyz. The hosts have shown poor form in their last five matches (only 1 point per match), but their home record of 33% wins, draws, and losses indicates unpredictability. Homeboyz display better overall form (1.2 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (40% clean sheets); however, their away offense is weak (averaging 0.6 goals per match, 60% FTS%). Nairobi United averages 1.5 goals scored at home but also concedes 1.5, suggesting open matches. Given the even xG metrics (0.94 vs 0.92), similar possession (51% vs 49%), and recent form of both teams, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this duel.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nairobi United is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nairobi United · 0.4 pts / match - Homeboyz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Nairobi United · 1.18 goals / match - Homeboyz
Nairobi United scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Homeboyz scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nairobi United
Over / Under - Homeboyz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Nairobi United · 1.29 pts / match - Homeboyz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nairobi United
Homeboyz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 1.94 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 41% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 37% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal after half-time | • 35% | 35% | ▲ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nairobi United 1 - 0 - 0 Homeboyz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nairobi United vs Homeboyz?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 2:2 Homeboyz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Homeboyz?
Nairobi United score 1.24 goals per game on average and Homeboyz 1.18. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nairobi United's matches and 53% of Homeboyz's.
What form are Nairobi United and Homeboyz in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Homeboyz 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Homeboyz?
The statistical background for Nairobi United vs Homeboyz — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.