Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Nairobi United hold a distinct advantage over Ulinzi Stars, particularly in the context of their home performances. In their last 5 overall matches, the hosts have averaged 1.6 PPG with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, whereas the visitors have managed only 1.0 PPG. The key argument supporting a home win is offensive efficiency – Nairobi United score an average of 1.4 goals per home game, while Ulinzi Stars average a mere 0.75 goals away and fail to score in 42% of their away fixtures. The visitors have a negative away record with a 58% loss rate and only 25% wins, making the hosts clear favorites given their decent form. The xG statistics are evenly matched, but Nairobi United's edge in ball possession (53% vs 50%) and better form in recent matches tip the scales in their favor, although the visitors' solid defense (25% away clean sheets) might make the task difficult for the hosts.
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nairobi United play Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 13 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Nairobi United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nairobi United scores 1.34 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nairobi United 48%, Ulinzi Stars 55%. Over 2.5: Nairobi United 34%, Ulinzi Stars 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Nairobi United has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.41. Nairobi United: 9.4 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 10.1.
Match halves
Nairobi United: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.21. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.10.
Goals by minute
Nairobi United: 0-15 (27 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Nairobi United hold a distinct advantage over Ulinzi Stars, particularly in the context of their home performances. In their last 5 overall matches, the hosts have averaged 1.6 PPG with a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, whereas the visitors have managed only 1.0 PPG. The key argument supporting a home win is offensive efficiency – Nairobi United score an average of 1.4 goals per home game, while Ulinzi Stars average a mere 0.75 goals away and fail to score in 42% of their away fixtures. The visitors have a negative away record with a 58% loss rate and only 25% wins, making the hosts clear favorites given their decent form. The xG statistics are evenly matched, but Nairobi United's edge in ball possession (53% vs 50%) and better form in recent matches tip the scales in their favor, although the visitors' solid defense (25% away clean sheets) might make the task difficult for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nairobi United is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nairobi United · 1.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nairobi United is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Nairobi United · 0.97 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Nairobi United is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nairobi United · 1.21 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Nairobi United scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nairobi United
Over / Under — Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nairobi United is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Nairobi United · 0.86 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (26). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nairobi United
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.34 | 2.01 | ▲ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 43% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 33% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 36% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 28% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 24% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nairobi United 0 - 1 - 0 Ulinzi Stars. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Nairobi United 1:2 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Nairobi United score 1.34 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.97. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Nairobi United's matches and 55% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Nairobi United and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.