Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United: match statistics
Buriram United, the league leader in 1st position, presents dominant form with 80% away victories and an impressive streak of 4 wins in the last 5 matches. The hosts, Nakhon Ratchasima, occupy 16th place with just 20% home wins and negative form (1 win in the last 5 meetings). The difference in offensive quality is huge: Buriram scores an average of 2.4 goals away with 60% possession, while the hosts score only 0.7 goals on average in home matches and fail to score in 60% of games. Additionally, the visitors' +13 goal difference away compared to the hosts' -4 at home, along with the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.36), unequivocally point to a decisive victory for Buriram United.
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nakhon Ratchasima played Buriram United in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Nakhon Ratchasima: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Buriram United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Buriram United scores 2.71 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nakhon Ratchasima 38%, Buriram United 62%. Over 2.5: Nakhon Ratchasima 43%, Buriram United 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Buriram United has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.23. Nakhon Ratchasima: 9.6 shots per match, Buriram United: 15.9.
Match halves
Nakhon Ratchasima: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.38. Buriram United: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.62.
Goals by minute
Nakhon Ratchasima: 76-90+ (4 goals). Buriram United: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Buriram United, the league leader in 1st position, presents dominant form with 80% away victories and an impressive streak of 4 wins in the last 5 matches. The hosts, Nakhon Ratchasima, occupy 16th place with just 20% home wins and negative form (1 win in the last 5 meetings). The difference in offensive quality is huge: Buriram scores an average of 2.4 goals away with 60% possession, while the hosts score only 0.7 goals on average in home matches and fail to score in 60% of games. Additionally, the visitors' +13 goal difference away compared to the hosts' -4 at home, along with the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.36), unequivocally point to a decisive victory for Buriram United.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Buriram United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Buriram United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 2.4 pts / match - Buriram United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Buriram United is 304% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 2.71 goals / match - Buriram United
Buriram United is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 0.95 goals / match - Buriram United
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 43% of matches (9 of 21 matches), while Buriram United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Buriram United scores in 95% of matches (20 of 21 matches), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nakhon Ratchasima
Over / Under - Buriram United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Buriram United is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.67 pts / match - Buriram United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Buriram United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 81%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nakhon Ratchasima
Buriram United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Liga | Buriram United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 67% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima 0 - 0 - 1 Buriram United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United?
The Thai League T1 match finished Nakhon Ratchasima 0:3 Buriram United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United?
Nakhon Ratchasima score 0.67 goals per game on average and Buriram United 2.71. The Thai League T1 average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Nakhon Ratchasima's matches and 62% of Buriram United's.
What form are Nakhon Ratchasima and Buriram United in?
Over the last 5 games Nakhon Ratchasima have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Buriram United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Buriram United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.