Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Nakhon Ratchasima displays very poor home form with only a 14% win rate and as many as 71% of matches without scoring a goal, however in their last five overall matches they have earned 6 points. Lamphun Warrior also struggles away from home (56% losses, 0% clean sheets), but has better offensive efficiency (33% FTS% vs 71%) and a higher shot conversion rate (8% vs 5%). The form of the last five matches is similar for both teams (1.2 vs 1.4 PPG), and Lamphun's advantage in ball possession (47% vs 38%) may be offset by the poor defense of the visitors. Considering Lamphun's high number of draws this season (50% of matches overall) and the scoring difficulties of the hosts, I expect a low-scoring draw, most likely 1:1 or 0:0.
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nakhon Ratchasima played Lamphun Warrior in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Nakhon Ratchasima: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lamphun Warrior: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.65 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Lamphun Warrior scores 1.39 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nakhon Ratchasima 35%, Lamphun Warrior 72%. Over 2.5: Nakhon Ratchasima 41%, Lamphun Warrior 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Lamphun Warrior has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.21. Nakhon Ratchasima: 9.7 shots per match, Lamphun Warrior: 13.8.
Match halves
Nakhon Ratchasima: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.35. Lamphun Warrior: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nakhon Ratchasima: 76-90+ (3 goals). Lamphun Warrior: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Nakhon Ratchasima displays very poor home form with only a 14% win rate and as many as 71% of matches without scoring a goal, however in their last five overall matches they have earned 6 points. Lamphun Warrior also struggles away from home (56% losses, 0% clean sheets), but has better offensive efficiency (33% FTS% vs 71%) and a higher shot conversion rate (8% vs 5%). The form of the last five matches is similar for both teams (1.2 vs 1.4 PPG), and Lamphun's advantage in ball possession (47% vs 38%) may be offset by the poor defense of the visitors. Considering Lamphun's high number of draws this season (50% of matches overall) and the scoring difficulties of the hosts, I expect a low-scoring draw, most likely 1:1 or 0:0.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Lamphun Warrior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lamphun Warrior is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.2 pts / match - Lamphun Warrior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lamphun Warrior is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.39 goals / match - Lamphun Warrior
Nakhon Ratchasima is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 2 goals / match - Lamphun Warrior
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 41% of matches (7 of 17 matches), while Lamphun Warrior keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
Lamphun Warrior scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nakhon Ratchasima
Over / Under - Lamphun Warrior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lamphun Warrior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nakhon Ratchasima
Lamphun Warrior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Liga | Lamphun Warrior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.35 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 56% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima 0 - 1 - 0 Lamphun Warrior. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior?
The Thai League T1 match finished Nakhon Ratchasima 0:1 Lamphun Warrior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior?
Nakhon Ratchasima score 0.65 goals per game on average and Lamphun Warrior 1.39. The Thai League T1 average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Nakhon Ratchasima's matches and 72% of Lamphun Warrior's.
What form are Nakhon Ratchasima and Lamphun Warrior in?
Over the last 5 games Nakhon Ratchasima have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lamphun Warrior 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Lamphun Warrior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.