Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong: match statistics
Rayong appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Nakhon Ratchasima sits in 16th place in the table with a disastrous home record – only 13% of matches won, 75% of games without scoring a goal, and an average of just 0.5 goals per match. The hosts' form is alarming with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Rayong, on the other hand, ranks 6th, has significantly better efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts), a higher average xG, and has scored 31 goals this season. The visitors have earned 1.4 points per match in their last five games, winning two, while Nakhon obtained just 0.6 points. The advantage in quality and form favors a victory for Rayong, although their 40% away draw rate does not allow for ruling out a split of points.
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nakhon Ratchasima played Rayong in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nakhon Ratchasima: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Rayong: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.58 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Rayong scores 1.55 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nakhon Ratchasima 32%, Rayong 70%. Over 2.5: Nakhon Ratchasima 37%, Rayong 45%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Rayong has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.19. Nakhon Ratchasima: 9.4 shots per match, Rayong: 14.7.
Match halves
Nakhon Ratchasima: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.32. Rayong: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nakhon Ratchasima: 76-90+ (3 goals). Rayong: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rayong appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Nakhon Ratchasima sits in 16th place in the table with a disastrous home record – only 13% of matches won, 75% of games without scoring a goal, and an average of just 0.5 goals per match. The hosts' form is alarming with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Rayong, on the other hand, ranks 6th, has significantly better efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts), a higher average xG, and has scored 31 goals this season. The visitors have earned 1.4 points per match in their last five games, winning two, while Nakhon obtained just 0.6 points. The advantage in quality and form favors a victory for Rayong, although their 40% away draw rate does not allow for ruling out a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayong is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.4 pts / match - Rayong
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayong is 167% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.55 goals / match - Rayong
Rayong is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.35 goals / match - Rayong
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while Rayong keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Rayong scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nakhon Ratchasima
Over / Under - Rayong
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayong is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.05 pts / match - Rayong
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nakhon Ratchasima
Rayong
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Liga | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 85% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 0 - 0 Rayong. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
The Thai League T1 match finished Nakhon Ratchasima 2:1 Rayong. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
Nakhon Ratchasima score 0.58 goals per game on average and Rayong 1.55. The Thai League T1 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Nakhon Ratchasima's matches and 70% of Rayong's.
What form are Nakhon Ratchasima and Rayong in?
Over the last 5 games Nakhon Ratchasima have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Rayong 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
The statistical background for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.