Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong: match statistics
Rayong appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Nakhon Ratchasima sits in 16th place in the table with a disastrous home record – only 13% of matches won, 75% of games without scoring a goal, and an average of just 0.5 goals per match. The hosts' form is alarming with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Rayong, on the other hand, ranks 6th, has significantly better efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts), a higher average xG, and has scored 31 goals this season. The visitors have earned 1.4 points per match in their last five games, winning two, while Nakhon obtained just 0.6 points. The advantage in quality and form favors a victory for Rayong, although their 40% away draw rate does not allow for ruling out a split of points.
Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nakhon Ratchasima play Rayong in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 12:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nakhon Ratchasima: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rayong: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.67 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Rayong scores 1.47 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nakhon Ratchasima 37%, Rayong 77%. Over 2.5: Nakhon Ratchasima 40%, Rayong 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Rayong has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.28. Nakhon Ratchasima: 10.0 shots per match, Rayong: 14.0.
Match halves
Nakhon Ratchasima: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.40. Rayong: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Nakhon Ratchasima: 76-90+ (7 goals). Rayong: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Rayong appears to be the favorite in this encounter despite playing away. Nakhon Ratchasima sits in 16th place in the table with a disastrous home record – only 13% of matches won, 75% of games without scoring a goal, and an average of just 0.5 goals per match. The hosts' form is alarming with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Rayong, on the other hand, ranks 6th, has significantly better efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 5% for the hosts), a higher average xG, and has scored 31 goals this season. The visitors have earned 1.4 points per match in their last five games, winning two, while Nakhon obtained just 0.6 points. The advantage in quality and form favors a victory for Rayong, although their 40% away draw rate does not allow for ruling out a split of points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nakhon Ratchasima is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1 pts / match - Rayong
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayong is 119% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.47 goals / match - Rayong
Nakhon Ratchasima is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima · 1.63 goals / match - Rayong
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Rayong keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Rayong scores in 93% of matches (28 of 30 matches), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nakhon Ratchasima
Over / Under — Rayong
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nakhon Ratchasima
Rayong
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Nakhon Ratchasima | Liga | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 55% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 0 - 0 Rayong. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
The Thai League T1 match finished Nakhon Ratchasima 2:1 Rayong. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
Nakhon Ratchasima score 0.67 goals per game on average and Rayong 1.47. The Thai League T1 average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Nakhon Ratchasima's matches and 77% of Rayong's.
What form are Nakhon Ratchasima and Rayong in?
Over the last 5 games Nakhon Ratchasima have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rayong 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong?
The statistical background for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.