Nancy vs Annecy: match statistics
Nancy vs Annecy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nancy played Annecy in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Nancy: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Annecy: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nancy scores 0.90 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Annecy scores 1.20 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nancy 47%, Annecy 47%. Over 2.5: Nancy 50%, Annecy 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nancy has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.19. Nancy: 11.1 shots per match, Annecy: 9.7.
Match halves
Nancy: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.40. Annecy: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Nancy: 0-15 (6 goals). Annecy: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites appear to be the visitors from Annecy: the team sits 8th versus Nancy’s 15th and has scored 36 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 27. Annecy scores on the road at an average of 1.07 goals (xG 1.08) with a shot conversion of 12%, while Nancy at home scores 0.8 goals with xG 1.36 and a conversion rate of 6%. Nancy generates more chances (12.6 shots and 3.2 on target at home), but often fails to convert — 47% of matches without a goal and a gap between xG and actual goals of about -0.56, which limits the hosts’ attacking threat. Defensively both teams are similar: Nancy concedes 1.47 goals at home, Annecy 1.4 away, and in the last 5 matches goals conceded are 10 and 9 respectively, suggesting an open game. Considering Annecy’s higher efficiency and better away win percentage (40% vs. the hosts’ 27%) and slightly better points-per-game in the last 5 (0.8 vs 0.6), I assign a 47% probability to an Annecy win, 30% to a draw and 23% to a Nancy win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - No with a 60% probability versus 40% for Yes. Annecy has a seasonal BTTS of 33% and only 20% in the last 5 matches, with an average of 0.4 goals scored in that period (2 goals in 5 matches), which significantly reduces their likelihood of scoring. Nancy records a seasonal BTTS of 60% and averages 1.33 goals scored (xG 1.31) versus Annecy’s 1.07 (xG 1.08), but in the last 5 matches Nancy conceded 10 goals (2.0 per match), giving opponents some opportunity. Despite that, the league-level BTTS of 51% and high clean sheets (61% in the league, and seasonally 40% for Nancy and 33% for Annecy) together with Annecy’s poor attacking form over the last 5 rounds indicate that at least one team may keep a clean sheet. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is No Goal/Goal absent, so the pick is BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG and defensive-statistics-based model yields expected goals: Nancy 1.20 xG, Annecy 1.06 xG, totaling 2.26 expected goals. Season figures confirm a moderate tempo: Nancy averages 1.33 goals scored and concedes 0.87, Annecy scores 1.07 and concedes 1.40, with a combined season goals average of 2.40. In the last 5 matches Nancy has scored 5 and conceded 10 (avg. 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded), while Annecy has scored 2 and conceded 9 (avg. 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded), which increases the risk of more goals. Additionally, Nancy averages 10.67 shots with 3.6 on target, Annecy 8.8 shots with 3.33 on target, with conversion rates of 13% and 12%, supporting a real goal-scoring potential. My approximate distribution (for λ=2.26) indicates P(Over 1.5) ≈ 66%, P(Over 2.5) ≈ 39% and P(Over 3.5) ≈ 19%, therefore the strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics clearly favor Nancy: the hosts led at the break in 8 home matches (53%) and score on average 0.67 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.2, whereas Annecy on the road led at the break in 5 matches (33%) and were behind at half-time in 7 (47%). Nancy posts a higher xG (1.31 vs 1.08 for Annecy) and registers more shots (10.67 vs 8.8) and more shots on target (3.6 vs 3.33), indicating an offensive edge and greater likelihood of a goal before the interval. Annecy concedes on average 1.4 goals per match and has particular trouble in the 16–30 minute window away from home (7 goals conceded), and they lose 53% of their away matches, so they have a low probability of engineering a turnaround. Additionally, Nancy have accumulated 30 points at half-time compared to Annecy’s 18 and earn 2.0 points on average by the break versus 1.2 for their opponents; therefore the strongest scenario is the home side leading at half-time and holding on to win (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nancy | Annecy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Annecy is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nancy · 0.8 pts / match - Annecy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Annecy is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Nancy · 1.2 goals / match - Annecy
Annecy is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Nancy · 1.13 goals / match - Annecy
Nancy scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Annecy keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Annecy scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nancy
Over / Under - Annecy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Annecy is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Nancy · 1.6 pts / match - Annecy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Annecy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nancy
Annecy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Nancy | Liga | Annecy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 31% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nancy 1 - 0 - 0 Annecy. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nancy vs Annecy?
The Ligue 2 match finished Nancy 1:5 Annecy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nancy vs Annecy?
Nancy score 0.90 goals per game on average and Annecy 1.20. The Ligue 2 average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nancy's matches and 47% of Annecy's.
What form are Nancy and Annecy in?
Over the last 5 games Nancy have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Annecy 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nancy vs Annecy?
The statistical background for Nancy vs Annecy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.