Nancy vs Dunkerque: match statistics
Nancy vs Dunkerque: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nancy played Dunkerque in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Nancy: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Dunkerque: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nancy scores 0.97 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Dunkerque scores 1.55 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nancy 52%, Dunkerque 61%. Over 2.5: Nancy 52%, Dunkerque 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Dunkerque has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.19. Nancy: 10.8 shots per match, Dunkerque: 10.2.
Match halves
Nancy: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52. Dunkerque: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Nancy: 76-90+ (9 goals). Dunkerque: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). Dunkerque scored 51 goals this season versus Nancy's 32; away they average 1.69 goals per game with 4.06 shots on target and a conversion rate of 18%, while Nancy at home records only 0.81 goals, 3.06 shots on target and ~7% conversion. Nancy concedes 1.69 goals per home match and has a -14 goal difference at their stadium, whereas Dunkerque away has a +4 goal difference and concedes 1.44 per match; additionally Nancy fails to score in 44% of home games versus 25% for Dunkerque on the road. Average xG is 1.33 for Nancy at home versus 1.15 for Dunkerque away, indicating comparable quality of chances but an advantage for the visitors in finishing efficiency (18% vs 7%). In the last 5 matches both teams scored 8 goals, yet Nancy averages 1.2 pts/game versus Dunkerque's 0.8 pts/game; considering finishing, possession (55% vs 46%) and goal difference I give a 55% chance to the away win, 25% to a draw and 20% to a Nancy victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics support a Both Teams To Score scenario: Nancy has a season BTTS 53% and Dunkerque 69%, averaging 61%, above the league level of 52%. In the last 5 matches Nancy registered BTTS in 100% and Dunkerque in 60%, with Nancy conceding on average 2.0 goals in those 5 games and Dunkerque 1.6. xG and shot data confirm an exchange of chances — Nancy generates xG 1.30 and averages 11.06 shots (4.18 on target), while Dunkerque posts xG 1.15 with 9.38 shots (4.06 on target); concurrently Nancy concedes xG 1.14 and Dunkerque 1.29. Season goal averages 1.41 (Nancy) and 1.69 (Dunkerque) and low clean sheet rates 24% and 13% further increase the likelihood of both teams scoring. On this basis the "Both Teams To Score - Yes" scenario appears more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (averaging team xG and opponent xG) projects expected goals of 1.30 for Nancy and 1.15 for Dunkerque, total 2.45. With total xG = 2.45 I estimate about a 70% chance of at least 2 goals in the match, ~44% for 3+ goals and ~23% for 4+ goals. Seasonal averages are 1.41 for Nancy and 1.69 for Dunkerque (total 3.10), but xG (1.30 vs 1.15) is lower, while Dunkerque has a higher shot conversion rate of 18% versus Nancy’s 13%, producing mixed signals for the 2.5 line. Dunkerque has Over 2.5 in 69% of matches and BTTS in 69% of matches; Nancy has Over 2.5 in 35% and BTTS in 53% of matches. In the last 5 games Nancy scored 8 and conceded 10 goals (avg 1.6 and 2.0), which increases the likelihood of crossing 1.5. Therefore my strongest signal is Over 1.5, since combined xG of 2.45 and seasonal Over 1.5 rates of 71% (Nancy) and 75% (Dunkerque) provide a clear edge for that market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict X/2 (draw at Half-Time, away win Full-Time) as the most likely scenario. A draw at Half-Time appears most probable: Nancy were level at the break in 47% of matches, Dunkerque in 31%, yielding an average of roughly 39% chance of an HT draw, while Nancy led at the break in 24% of games and Dunkerque in 38%. After the break the visitors perform markedly better — they earn an average of 1.56 points in second halves versus 1.29 for the hosts and record second-half wins in 44% of cases compared to Nancy’s 28%, so HT draws frequently swing in Dunkerque’s favor. Additionally, full-time statistics show greater effectiveness from the visitors (38% wins for Dunkerque vs 29% wins for Nancy), and xG is comparable (1.15 for the away side versus 1.3 for the hosts), which together support the scenario of an HT draw with a turnaround in favor of the visitors. Consequently, I assigned the X/2 scenario the highest weight (21%) in the probability distribution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nancy | Dunkerque | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nancy is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nancy · 0.8 pts / match - Dunkerque
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dunkerque is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Nancy · 1.55 goals / match - Dunkerque
Dunkerque is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Nancy · 1.27 goals / match - Dunkerque
Nancy scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Dunkerque keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Dunkerque scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nancy
Over / Under - Dunkerque
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dunkerque is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Nancy · 1.3 pts / match - Dunkerque
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dunkerque - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nancy
Dunkerque
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Nancy | Liga | Dunkerque | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- NancySubstitutionOn: Martin SourzacOff: Geoffrey Lembet
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nancy 1 - 0 - 0 Dunkerque. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nancy vs Dunkerque?
The Ligue 2 match finished Nancy 3:2 Dunkerque. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nancy vs Dunkerque?
Nancy score 0.97 goals per game on average and Dunkerque 1.55. The Ligue 2 average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Nancy's matches and 61% of Dunkerque's.
What form are Nancy and Dunkerque in?
Over the last 5 games Nancy have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Dunkerque 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nancy vs Dunkerque?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nancy vs Dunkerque: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.