Nancy vs Rodez: match statistics
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two teams in average form. Nancy sits in 14th place and has a weaker home record (33% wins, 56% losses), but lately shows signs of improvement with 1.6 points per match in the last five games. Rodez ranks higher (11th position) but struggles on the road – only 22% wins and as many as 1.89 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have a negative goal difference on their respective fields, and Rodez often fails to win away from home (last five away matches: only one win). Given Nancy's poor efficiency at home and Rodez's defensive issues on the road, combined with the visitors' tendency to draw (33% away), a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems the most likely result.
Nancy vs Rodez: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nancy played Rodez in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Nancy: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rodez: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nancy scores 0.89 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Rodez scores 1.16 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nancy 37%, Rodez 68%. Over 2.5: Nancy 47%, Rodez 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Rodez has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.23. Nancy: 11.5 shots per match, Rodez: 11.3.
Match halves
Nancy: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.32. Rodez: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Nancy: 16-30 (5 goals). Rodez: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two teams in average form. Nancy sits in 14th place and has a weaker home record (33% wins, 56% losses), but lately shows signs of improvement with 1.6 points per match in the last five games. Rodez ranks higher (11th position) but struggles on the road – only 22% wins and as many as 1.89 goals conceded on average per match. Both teams have a negative goal difference on their respective fields, and Rodez often fails to win away from home (last five away matches: only one win). Given Nancy's poor efficiency at home and Rodez's defensive issues on the road, combined with the visitors' tendency to draw (33% away), a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts seems the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nancy | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rodez is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nancy · 1.4 pts / match - Rodez
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rodez is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Nancy · 1.16 goals / match - Rodez
Nancy scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Rodez keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Rodez scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nancy
Over / Under - Rodez
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nancy is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Nancy · 1.21 pts / match - Rodez
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rodez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nancy
Rodez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Nancy | Liga | Rodez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.52 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nancy 0 - 1 - 0 Rodez. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nancy vs Rodez?
The Ligue 2 match finished Nancy 1:3 Rodez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nancy vs Rodez?
Nancy score 0.89 goals per game on average and Rodez 1.16. The Ligue 2 average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Nancy's matches and 68% of Rodez's.
What form are Nancy and Rodez in?
Over the last 5 games Nancy have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rodez 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nancy vs Rodez?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.