Nanjing City vs Dongguan United: match statistics
Nanjing City vs Dongguan United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nanjing City played Dongguan United in China League One (China). The match was played on 5 July 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Nanjing City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dongguan United: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nanjing City scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dongguan United scores 1.17 and concedes 1.92. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nanjing City 50%, Dongguan United 50%. Over 2.5: Nanjing City 33%, Dongguan United 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Nanjing City has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.20. Nanjing City: 12.2 shots per match, Dongguan United: 9.9.
Match halves
Nanjing City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Dongguan United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Nanjing City: 31-45+ (4 goals). Dongguan United: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nanjing City holds a clear advantage in quality of chance creation: home average xG is 1.39 versus xG conceded 1.02, while Dongguan United on the road has xG for 0.92 and xG against 1.92, indicating the hosts generate more high-quality opportunities. The hosts average 12.17 shots per match with 3.67 on target at home, whereas the visitors average only 7.4 shots and 2.8 on target away, so Nanjing exerts greater control and creates more scoring chances. In the last 5 matches Nanjing scored 4 goals and recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (1-1-3), conceding 6 goals (1.2 per game), while Dongguan also scored 4 goals but failed to win any of their last 5 (0-2-3) and conceded 12 goals (2.4 per game), highlighting the visitors’ weaker defense. Dongguan’s strength is their high away efficiency (conversion rate 24%) and an average of 1.8 goals scored per away match, however low possession (36%) and lower xG for (0.92) show they often rely on efficiency rather than dominance in chance creation. Considering Nanjing’s xG advantage (1.39 vs 0.92), higher shot volume and the fact that the visitors have conceded many goals (12 in 5 matches), I assign 60% probability for a home win, 20% for a draw and 20% for a Dongguan win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend a BTTS - Yes bet (62%) versus 38% for No. Nanjing City concedes an average of 2.29 goals per match this season and has 0% clean sheets, while their xG against is only 0.99, indicating a large gap between expected chances conceded and actual goals conceded. Dongguan United scores an average of 1.8 goals per match (xG_for 0.92) and shows a high shot conversion rate of 24% versus the home side’s 6%, but in the last 5 away matches the visitors conceded an average of 2.4 goals (12 conceded), which increases the likelihood of a home goal. Nanjing’s last 5 matches show xG_for 1.42 and they score 0.8 goals per game, and xG comparison shows Nanjing xG_for 1.4 versus Dongguan xG_against 1.92, so the home team should create scoring opportunities. Considering seasonal BTTS rates of 57% for Nanjing, 40% for Dongguan and a league level of 54%, the scenario where both teams score is stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based projections give 1.66 xG for Nanjing City and 0.96 xG for Dongguan, totaling 2.62 expected goals. Nanjing concedes on average 2.29 goals per home match, while Dongguan scores on average 1.8 goals away with a very high shot conversion of 24%, which increases the risk of goals from the visitors. Home matches for Nanjing have finished over 1.5 goals in 86% of cases this season, and Dongguan’s matches in 80%, so I estimate the probability of Over 1.5 very high at 88%. Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (I estimate 57%) — justified by xG=2.62 and season Over 2.5 rates of 43% for the home side and 60% for the visitors. I assess Over 3.5 as unlikely (29%) because the expected total of 2.62 is below 3.5, so the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I favor the '2/2' scenario — the away team leads at the break and ultimately wins the match. The half-time signal is strong: the away side led at the break in 60% of matches, while the home team only in 14%, and the average first-half goals are 1.0 for away versus 0.14 for home. Over the full match the away team averages 1.8 goals and has a 40% win rate this season, whereas the home team averages only 0.71 goals and 0% wins; additionally the away team has 40% clean sheets versus 0% for the home side, which reinforces the visitors' advantage. The home team generates more chances (xG 1.4, 11.71 shots and 4.29 shots on target) but is very inefficient (conversion 6%), while the away team with xG 0.92 and 7.4 shots has a 24% conversion rate, so the visitors are clearly more efficient. Considering the away lead at the break (60%), the goal advantage and 40% win share, and the home side's poor defense (conceding on average 2.29 per match), the strongest signal is 2/2; alternatives are X/2 or 2/X as less likely scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nanjing City | Dongguan United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nanjing City is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nanjing City · 0.6 pts / match - Dongguan United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dongguan United is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Nanjing City · 1.17 goals / match - Dongguan United
Nanjing City is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nanjing City · 1.92 goals / match - Dongguan United
Nanjing City scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Dongguan United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Dongguan United scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Nanjing City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nanjing City
Over / Under - Dongguan United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nanjing City is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Nanjing City · 1.17 pts / match - Dongguan United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nanjing City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dongguan United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nanjing City
Dongguan United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Nanjing City | Liga | Dongguan United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nanjing City 1 - 1 - 0 Dongguan United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
The China League One match finished Nanjing City 3:1 Dongguan United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nanjing City and Dongguan United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 1, Dongguan United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
Nanjing City score 0.92 goals per game on average and Dongguan United 1.17. The China League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nanjing City's matches and 50% of Dongguan United's.
What form are Nanjing City and Dongguan United in?
Over the last 5 games Nanjing City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dongguan United 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nanjing City vs Dongguan United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.