Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors: match statistics
Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nanjing City played Shenzhen Juniors in China League One (China). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Nanjing City: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Shenzhen Juniors: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nanjing City scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Shenzhen Juniors scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nanjing City 50%, Shenzhen Juniors 0%. Over 2.5: Nanjing City 25%, Shenzhen Juniors 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Nanjing City: 11.5 shots per match, Shenzhen Juniors: 8.0.
Match halves
Nanjing City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Shenzhen Juniors: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Nanjing City: 31-45+ (2 goals). Shenzhen Juniors: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shenzhen Juniors are in better form — the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches (record 4-0-1) and scored 7 goals, while Nanjing City has only 1 win in five (1-2-2), scoring 4 and conceding as many as 9. At home Nanjing averages 1.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded with xG for 1.30 and xG against 0.65, but their home conversion rate is only 9% and in 50% of matches they fail to score. Shenzhen away average 1.5 goals scored and concede 2.0 with xG for 1.01 and xG against 1.80, compensating with high efficiency (27% conversion) and 57% possession, which has translated into 2.4 points in the last 5 rounds. Although the hosts register more shots (11 vs 5.5) and more shots on target (4 vs 3), Nanjing’s low conversion and their 9 goals conceded in the last five games give the visitors a clear efficiency advantage. Therefore I forecast a Shenzhen Juniors win, expecting their finishing efficiency to outweigh Nanjing’s home organization.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dominant signal is "no": Nanjing City has 100.0% clean sheets this season and a seasonal home goals conceded average of 0.0, while the season BTTS percentage for hosts is 0.0%, all strongly favoring No Goal. Counterpoints are the hosts' last 5 home matches showing 60.0% BTTS and an average of 1.8 goals conceded, and season xG for hosts 1.45 vs xG against 1.59, indicating hosts create chances but are also exposed. Shenzhen has a seasonal goals scored average of 1.5 and goals conceded average of 2.0 and only 20.0% BTTS in the last 5, although their shooting accuracy is 27.0% (vs 10.0% for the hosts) on just 5.5 shots per match. League-wide BTTS rate is 45.0% with 57.0% clean sheets and an average of 2.19 goals per match, so the prevailing defensive tendency in the league and the seasonal 0.0% BTTS for both teams reinforce the No Goal forecast. Given the weight of seasonal indicators (100.0% CS for the hosts and 0.0% BTTS for both teams), I assign a higher probability to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals were calculated based on xG: hosts have xG_for 1.45 while Shenzhen concedes xG_against 1.80 — averaging 1.63 goals for Nanjing City; Shenzhen has xG_for 1.01 and the hosts have xG_against 1.59 — averaging 1.30 for the visitors, totaling 2.93 expected goals. Nanjing averages 10.5 shots and 4.5 on target per match versus Shenzhen’s 5.5 shots and 3.0 on target, indicating a positional advantage for the hosts, although Shenzhen has a higher shot conversion rate 27% vs 10%. In the last 5 matches Nanjing scored 4 and conceded 9 (0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded on average), while Shenzhen scored 7 and conceded 5 (1.4 and 1.0), which confirms away matches tend to produce more goals. The Poisson model with a total of 2.93 yields roughly a 79% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 56% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and around 34% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5), therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nanjing City displays strong home metrics: 100% home wins, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game, with a higher xG of 1.45 versus 1.01 and 10.5 shots compared to Shenzhen’s 5.5. At half-time the hosts average 0.5 goals and 0.0 conceded with 100% clean sheets at the break, indicating a high probability of leading at the break. Shenzhen, despite 80% wins in their last five matches, have a higher goals-against average (2.0) and concede on average 1.5 goals in the second half, while their 27% conversion rate with a low shot count suggests the risk of a single goal rather than dominance during play. Overall the advantage in xG, shot volume and Nanjing’s lack of goals conceded make the most likely scenario a home lead at half-time and retention of the win to full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nanjing City | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shenzhen Juniors is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Nanjing City · 2.25 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shenzhen Juniors is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Nanjing City · 1.25 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Nanjing City is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Nanjing City · 1 goals / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Nanjing City scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Shenzhen Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
Shenzhen Juniors scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Nanjing City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nanjing City
Over / Under - Shenzhen Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shenzhen Juniors is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Nanjing City · 1.75 pts / match - Shenzhen Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nanjing City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shenzhen Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nanjing City
Shenzhen Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Nanjing City | Liga | Shenzhen Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nanjing City 1 - 0 - 1 Shenzhen Juniors. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The China League One match finished Nanjing City 1:3 Shenzhen Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nanjing City and Shenzhen Juniors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 1, Shenzhen Juniors won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors?
Nanjing City score 0.75 goals per game on average and Shenzhen Juniors 1.25. The China League One average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nanjing City's matches and 0% of Shenzhen Juniors's.
What form are Nanjing City and Shenzhen Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Nanjing City have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Shenzhen Juniors 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors?
The statistical background for Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.