Nantes vs Le Havre: match statistics
The match promises to be a very even clash between two teams fighting to avoid relegation. Nantes is in terrible form with a series of five consecutive defeats and only a 9% win rate at home, making them one of the weakest teams on their own ground. Le Havre, despite better recent form (two wins in the last five matches), has very poor away results – only 10% wins and as much as 60% defeats. A key factor is that Le Havre does not score goals away from home (averaging 0.5 goals per match, 60% of matches without a goal scored), while Nantes has defensive issues (conceding an average of 2 goals at home). Considering the desperate situation of both teams, their poor finishing, and Le Havre's tendency to draw (30% away), I expect a low-scoring draw, likely 0:0 or 1:1.
Nantes vs Le Havre: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantes played Le Havre in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Nantes: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Le Havre: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantes scores 0.91 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Le Havre scores 0.91 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantes 55%, Le Havre 50%. Over 2.5: Nantes 50%, Le Havre 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Le Havre has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.12. Nantes: 10.6 shots per match, Le Havre: 10.9.
Match halves
Nantes: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.41. Le Havre: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Nantes: 31-45+ (7 goals). Le Havre: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a very even clash between two teams fighting to avoid relegation. Nantes is in terrible form with a series of five consecutive defeats and only a 9% win rate at home, making them one of the weakest teams on their own ground. Le Havre, despite better recent form (two wins in the last five matches), has very poor away results – only 10% wins and as much as 60% defeats. A key factor is that Le Havre does not score goals away from home (averaging 0.5 goals per match, 60% of matches without a goal scored), while Nantes has defensive issues (conceding an average of 2 goals at home). Considering the desperate situation of both teams, their poor finishing, and Le Havre's tendency to draw (30% away), I expect a low-scoring draw, likely 0:0 or 1:1.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantes | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Havre is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Nantes · 1.23 goals / match - Le Havre
Nantes scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Le Havre keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Le Havre scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nantes
Over / Under - Le Havre
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nantes is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Nantes · 0.86 pts / match - Le Havre
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Le Havre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantes
Le Havre
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nantes | Liga | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nantes 0 - 1 - 0 Le Havre. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantes vs Le Havre?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nantes 2:0 Le Havre. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Le Havre?
Nantes score 0.91 goals per game on average and Le Havre 0.91. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Nantes's matches and 50% of Le Havre's.
What form are Nantes and Le Havre in?
Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Le Havre 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Le Havre?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.