Nantes vs Nice: match statistics
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Nantes sits in 16th place and has a dismal home record – just 11% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -8. Nice is placed 15th, but their away form is even worse – 78% losses on the road, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -14. Both teams average 1 goal per match (Nantes at home, Nice away), but they concede a lot – Nantes 1.89, and Nice a staggering 2.56 goals on average. The recent form of both teams is slightly better (Nantes: 1.4 PPG, Nice: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting a potential fight for points. Given the weakness of both teams, Nice's slight possession advantage (49% vs 43%), and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems most probable, although the slight home advantage might give Nantes a chance for victory.
Nantes vs Nice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantes played Nice in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Nantes: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Nice: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantes scores 0.94 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Nice scores 1.17 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantes 50%, Nice 67%. Over 2.5: Nantes 44%, Nice 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Nice has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.04. Nantes: 9.8 shots per match, Nice: 11.8.
Match halves
Nantes: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.44. Nice: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Nantes: 31-45+ (5 goals). Nice: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be an even clash between two teams in poor form. Nantes sits in 16th place and has a dismal home record – just 11% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -8. Nice is placed 15th, but their away form is even worse – 78% losses on the road, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -14. Both teams average 1 goal per match (Nantes at home, Nice away), but they concede a lot – Nantes 1.89, and Nice a staggering 2.56 goals on average. The recent form of both teams is slightly better (Nantes: 1.4 PPG, Nice: 1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), suggesting a potential fight for points. Given the weakness of both teams, Nice's slight possession advantage (49% vs 43%), and balanced xG statistics, a draw seems most probable, although the slight home advantage might give Nantes a chance for victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantes | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nantes is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nantes · 0.2 pts / match - Nice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nice is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Nantes · 1.17 goals / match - Nice
Nantes is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Nantes · 1.94 goals / match - Nice
Nantes scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Nice scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nantes
Over / Under - Nice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantes
Nice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nantes | Liga | Nice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nantes 0 - 0 - 1 Nice. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantes vs Nice?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nantes 1:4 Nice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Nice?
Nantes score 0.94 goals per game on average and Nice 1.17. The Ligue 1 average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nantes's matches and 67% of Nice's.
What form are Nantes and Nice in?
Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Nice 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Nice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.