Nantes vs Paris: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams in this clash. Nantes displays poor home form with only 13% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -7, conceding on average 1.88 goals per match. Paris FC also performs poorly away, winning only 22% of games and conceding an average of 1.78 goals. Both teams have an identical PPG in their last 5 matches (1.4 points), confirming their similar level. The high percentage of draws for Paris FC away (22%) and the poor efficiency of both teams (9% and 11% shot conversion) suggest that the match could end in a draw. Considering all data, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this encounter between two teams fighting to avoid relegation.
Nantes vs Paris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantes played Paris in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Nantes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Paris: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantes scores 0.94 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Paris scores 1.29 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantes 47%, Paris 65%. Over 2.5: Nantes 41%, Paris 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Paris has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.06. Nantes: 10.1 shots per match, Paris: 12.1.
Match halves
Nantes: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.41. Paris: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Nantes: 31-45+ (5 goals). Paris: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams in this clash. Nantes displays poor home form with only 13% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -7, conceding on average 1.88 goals per match. Paris FC also performs poorly away, winning only 22% of games and conceding an average of 1.78 goals. Both teams have an identical PPG in their last 5 matches (1.4 points), confirming their similar level. The high percentage of draws for Paris FC away (22%) and the poor efficiency of both teams (9% and 11% shot conversion) suggest that the match could end in a draw. Considering all data, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this encounter between two teams fighting to avoid relegation.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantes | Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nantes is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nantes · 0.4 pts / match - Paris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paris is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Nantes · 1.29 goals / match - Paris
Nantes is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Nantes · 1.82 goals / match - Paris
Nantes scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Paris scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nantes
Over / Under - Paris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nantes is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Nantes · 0.76 pts / match - Paris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantes
Paris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nantes | Liga | Paris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.59 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nantes 1 - 0 - 0 Paris. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantes vs Paris?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nantes 1:2 Paris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Paris?
Nantes score 0.94 goals per game on average and Paris 1.29. The Ligue 1 average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nantes's matches and 65% of Paris's.
What form are Nantes and Paris in?
Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Paris 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Paris?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.