Nantong Zhiyun vs Guangzhou E-Power: match statistics

Guangzhou E-Power sit top of the table and remain unbeaten in their last five matches: they have won 4 and drawn 1, scoring 14 goals and conceding just 2. Nantong Zhiyun boast an excellent home record, with an 89% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded per match, making the hosts a major threat. However, the visitors have shown greater away efficiency: they average 2.2 goals, register 4.8 shots on target and convert 17% of their attempts, compared with Nantong’s 2 goals, 3.78 shots on target and 15% conversion rate. Guangzhou’s advantage in the quality of chances created is slight but also evident in xG, which stands at 1.57 away from home compared with the hosts’ 1.49 at home. A closely contested match with goals is expected, but the visitors’ current run and their very solid defensive record in recent weeks give them a marginal edge to win.

Nantong Zhiyun have scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Guangzhou E-Power have averaged 2.2, with very high xG figures of 2.00 and 1.57 respectively. The hosts have scored 12 goals and conceded 6 in their last five matches, meaning both teams scored in 80% of those games. Guangzhou are in excellent offensive form, with 14 goals in their last five appearances and an average of 2.8 goals, which should be enough even against well-organised hosts. The main argument against BTTS - Yes is Nantong’s defence: they have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their season matches and concede only 0.64 goals on average, while Guangzhou have conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches. Nevertheless, the combination of both teams’ current attacking form and Guangzhou’s 70% rate of matches featuring goals from both sides gives the BTTS - Yes scenario a slight but clear edge.

Both teams regularly produce at least two goals: the 1.5-goal line was exceeded in 82% of Nantong Zhiyun’s matches and 80% of Guangzhou E-Power’s fixtures. The hosts create chances worth an average of 2.00 xG and attempt 18.91 shots per match, while the visitors score an average of 2.20 goals and convert their chances at a 17% rate. In their last five matches, Nantong scored 2.4 goals per game and Guangzhou as many as 2.8, with both teams recording Over 2.5 in 60% of those appearances. The hosts’ defense is solid, conceding just 0.64 goals on average, which is why the 2.75-goal projection does not provide an equally strong edge for Over 2.5. The safest pick remains Over 1.5, as the attacking profile of both teams clearly reduces the risk of a 0:0 or 1:0 result.

Guangzhou E-Power are in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Nantong Zhiyun have won only twice and drawn twice. The visitors led at the break in 4 of their last 5 games, scoring an average of 1.6 goals in the first half and conceding none. Over the same period, Nantong conceded an average of 0.8 goals before half-time and led at the break in only 40% of their matches. Across the season as a whole, the hosts do have a very solid defence, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals, but the visitors’ current attacking strength stands at 2.8 goals per match, while they concede only 0.4. Therefore, the HT/FT scenario of Guangzhou E-Power leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle has the strongest support from their current form and first-half data.