Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka: match statistics
Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantong Zhiyun played Meizhou Hakka in China League One (China). The match was played on 27 June 2026. Venue: Rugao Olympic Sports Center Stadium. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Nantong Zhiyun: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Meizhou Hakka: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantong Zhiyun scores 1.00 and concedes 0.55 goals per match. Meizhou Hakka scores 0.82 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantong Zhiyun 36%, Meizhou Hakka 45%. Over 2.5: Nantong Zhiyun 18%, Meizhou Hakka 64%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nantong Zhiyun has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.02. Nantong Zhiyun: 10.0 shots per match, Meizhou Hakka: 7.6.
Match halves
Nantong Zhiyun: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64. Meizhou Hakka: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Nantong Zhiyun: 46-60 (3 goals). Meizhou Hakka: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nantong Zhiyun has a clear home advantage: they have won all home matches (6 wins, 100% win rate), kept a clean sheet in 83% of home games and concede only 0.17 goals per home match on average. Offensively the hosts average 11.17 shots and 2.67 on target per home game, scoring 1.33 goals with an average xG of 1.21, whereas Meizhou Hakka away averages 6.8 shots, 2.2 on target and only 0.6 goals with xG 0.94. Defensively the visitors are weak — they concede 1.2 goals per away match on average, have an average xG against of 1.65 and failed to score in 40% of away games, while the hosts have no such home game (0%), which increases Nantong’s edge. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 5 and conceded 3 (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; 1.6 points per game on average), while the visitors scored 5 and conceded 7 (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses; 1.0 point per game), confirming Nantong’s greater stability and efficiency. Considering 100% home wins, superiority in shots (11.17 vs 6.8), better home xG (1.21 vs 0.94) and the visitors’ weaker defense (1.2 goals conceded away and xG against 1.65), I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favour the "both teams to score" scenario as more likely because Nantong has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and has recorded 0% clean sheets at home, indicating that roughly 2 out of 3 of their matches see goals from both sides. Nantong generates xG 1.09 per match, while Meizhou concedes xG 1.65 and have conceded 21 goals in the season overall, so the home side has the statistical potential to score. The away side has counterarguments: Meizhou average only 0.6 goals per match this season and have a seasonal BTTS of just 20%, and they have kept a clean sheet in 40% of games, which reduces confidence that they will score. Supporting BTTS is recent form over the last 5 rounds — Meizhou score 1.0 goal on average and have BTTS in 60% of those 5 matches, while Nantong have conceded 0.6 goals on average in their last 5, which together increases the chance of both teams scoring. Considering the hosts' 67% BTTS, 0% clean sheets, Nantong xG 1.09 versus opponents’ 1.65 xG against Meizhou, and Meizhou’s 60% BTTS in the last 5, I estimate BTTS at 62% vs 38% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based calculations yield approximately 1.37 expected goals for Nantong (attacking xG 1.09 vs opponent defensive xG 1.65 -> average ~1.37) and 1.08 for Meizhou (attacking xG 0.94 vs opponent defensive xG 1.21 -> ~1.08), totaling 2.45 expected goals. That total of 2.45 is clearly above the 1.5 threshold, and seasonal percentages confirm this tendency: home side seasonOver15 100%, away side 60%, which strengthens the signal for Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line signals are mixed: seasonally the home team has seasonOver25 100% but in the last 5 matches their Over 2.5 dropped to 20%, while the visitors seasonally have only 20%, so the 2.5 forecast is essentially balanced (my model: 46% Over vs 54% Under). The 3.5 threshold looks unlikely (expected 2.45 vs seasonal over3.5: home 33%, away 0%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and best-justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nantong Zhiyun frequently trails at the break — in 6 of the analyzed matches they were behind at half-time, i.e. 100% (trailingAtHT_home = 6, trailingAtHTPercentage_home = 100%), and they concede on average 1.67 goals before the break (concededAVGHT_home = 1.67). Meizhou Hakka shows stronger season form: 1.4 points per game versus the home side’s 0.67 (seasonPPG_away = 1.4 vs seasonPPG_home = 0.67) and a 40% win rate this season compared to Nantong’s 17% (winPercentage_away = 40% vs winPercentage_home = 17%). The hosts do produce slightly higher xG (1.09 vs 0.94) and more shots per game (8.33 vs 6.8), but they concede many goals overall (seasonConcededAVG_home = 2.5) and have no clean sheets this season (seasonCSPercentage_home = 0%). Given these specific figures, the strongest signal is an away lead at the break and maintaining that advantage to full-time, so I prefer the 2/2 scenario and assign it the highest probability (55%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantong Zhiyun | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nantong Zhiyun is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 1 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nantong Zhiyun is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 0.82 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka
Nantong Zhiyun is 247% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.55 goals / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 1.91 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka
Nantong Zhiyun scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Meizhou Hakka keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Meizhou Hakka scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Nantong Zhiyun keeps a clean sheet in 64% (7 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nantong Zhiyun
Over / Under - Meizhou Hakka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nantong Zhiyun is 264% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 0.45 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantong Zhiyun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Meizhou Hakka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantong Zhiyun
Meizhou Hakka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Nantong Zhiyun | Liga | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.55 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 46% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 64% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 72% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka?
The China League One match finished Nantong Zhiyun 1:3 Meizhou Hakka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka?
Nantong Zhiyun score 1.00 goals per game on average and Meizhou Hakka 0.82. The China League One average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Nantong Zhiyun's matches and 45% of Meizhou Hakka's.
What form are Nantong Zhiyun and Meizhou Hakka in?
Over the last 5 games Nantong Zhiyun have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Meizhou Hakka 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka?
The statistical background for Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.