Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou: match statistics
Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantong Zhiyun played Wuxi Wugou in China League One (China). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nantong Zhiyun: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Wuxi Wugou: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantong Zhiyun scores 1.00 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Wuxi Wugou scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantong Zhiyun 43%, Wuxi Wugou 43%. Over 2.5: Nantong Zhiyun 29%, Wuxi Wugou 43%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Wuxi Wugou has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.15. Nantong Zhiyun: 9.3 shots per match, Wuxi Wugou: 13.0.
Match halves
Nantong Zhiyun: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Wuxi Wugou: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Nantong Zhiyun: 46-60 (2 goals). Wuxi Wugou: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nantong is favored due to an excellent home defence: the hosts concede only 0.25 goals per match at their stadium, have 75% clean sheets and a 100% home win rate. In their last 5 matches Nantong scored 4 goals and won 3 of 5 (3-1-1), averaging roughly 2 points per game, while Wuxi over the same period are 1-2-2, only 1 point per game and have conceded 7 goals. The visitors attempt more shots on the road (11.33 shots and 3.67 on target on average) and average 1.33 goals away, but their away xG against is 1.71 and they have 0% clean sheets, indicating defensive vulnerability. Nantong controls possession (59%) and generates 1.18 xG at home versus 1.09 xG for opponents, converting that into 1.25 home goals per match with a 13% conversion rate, which gives them a tactical edge. For these reasons I back the home win and assess the probabilities as 65% Nantong, 20% draw and 15% Wuxi.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Nantong Zhiyun average 2.0 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match, keeping a clean sheet in 75% of home appearances—strong evidence against BTTS. Wuxi Wugou has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and a BTTS rate of 60% in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.33 goals scored this season (1.2 in the last 5), so the visitors regularly find the net. However, xG data favor the hosts: Nantong has xG_for 1.81 versus 1.46 for Wuxi and xG_against 0.97 versus 1.71 for Wuxi, suggesting the hosts create chances more often and better limit the opponent. Additionally, the hosts average more shots (14.25 vs 11.33) and have a higher conversion rate (14% vs 12%), and in the last 5 matches Wuxi concede 1.4 goals on average versus 0.6 conceded by Nantong, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will be the scorers. Considering Nantong’s 75% home clean sheets and a league clean sheet rate of 64%, I assign 65% to No BTTS and 35% to BTTS, backing the 'no' option.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The prediction favors Over; I project approximately 2.80 total goals in the match (Nantong 1.54 vs Wuxi 1.26). The home side’s seasonal xG is 1.81 versus the away defense’s xG conceded of 1.71 (seasonal projection ~1.76 for Nantong), but in the last 5 matches the hosts have an xG of 1.09 and average 0.8 goals, so I averaged the forecast to 1.54/1.26. Hosts have 75% of matches with over 1.5 goals, visitors 67%, and a Poisson model for a total of 2.80 yields ~77% probability of Over 1.5 and ~53% of Over 2.5. Additionally, shot and conversion metrics (hosts 14.25 shots, 4.25 on target, 14% conversion vs visitors 11.33 shots, 3.67 on target, 12% conversion) support a 2–3 goal scenario, while the high clean sheet rate for the hosts (75%) limits the probability of 4+ goals (Over 3.5 ~31%). As a result I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the best single line — it balances probability (~53%) with the expected total goals of 2.80.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nantong shows a clear overall-match advantage: on average 2.0 goals per game versus Wuxi’s 1.33, averages 14.25 shots versus 11.33 and has a higher xG of 1.81 versus 1.46 with xG conceded 0.97 versus 1.71, indicating better quality in both attack and defense. In the last five matches at the break the visitors scored on average 0.8 goals while the hosts only 0.2, so a draw or a Wuxi lead at the break is realistic (recent HT trends favor the visitors). The key signal is the second half: the hosts have a total of 8 points and average 2.0 points in second halves with a goal difference of +4, whereas Wuxi has 2 points and a -1 difference, which suggests frequent turnarounds by Nantong after the break. Additionally, Nantong keeps a clean sheet in 75% of season matches versus 0% for Wuxi, and the hosts scored 3 goals in minutes 31–45 and 3 in 61–75, while Wuxi conceded 2 goals in 61–75, which confirms a post-break win scenario for the hosts. For these reasons the most reliable HT/FT market appears to be draw at half-time and Nantong to win full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantong Zhiyun | Wuxi Wugou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nantong Zhiyun is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 1 pts / match - Wuxi Wugou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wuxi Wugou is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 1.71 goals / match - Wuxi Wugou
Nantong Zhiyun is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 1 goals / match - Wuxi Wugou
Nantong Zhiyun scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Wuxi Wugou keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Wuxi Wugou scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Nantong Zhiyun keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nantong Zhiyun
Over / Under - Wuxi Wugou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wuxi Wugou is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Nantong Zhiyun · 1.86 pts / match - Wuxi Wugou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantong Zhiyun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wuxi Wugou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantong Zhiyun
Wuxi Wugou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Nantong Zhiyun | Liga | Wuxi Wugou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 30% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou?
The China League One match finished Nantong Zhiyun 1:0 Wuxi Wugou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou?
Nantong Zhiyun score 1.00 goals per game on average and Wuxi Wugou 1.71. The China League One average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Nantong Zhiyun's matches and 43% of Wuxi Wugou's.
What form are Nantong Zhiyun and Wuxi Wugou in?
Over the last 5 games Nantong Zhiyun have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Wuxi Wugou 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou?
The statistical background for Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuxi Wugou — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.