Naples vs NY Cosmos: match statistics
Naples vs NY Cosmos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Naples played NY Cosmos in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Naples: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. NY Cosmos: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Naples scores 1.11 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. NY Cosmos scores 1.30 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Naples 44%, NY Cosmos 67%. Over 2.5: Naples 48%, NY Cosmos 74%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
NY Cosmos has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.52. Naples: 12.7 shots per match, NY Cosmos: 12.8.
Match halves
Naples: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63. NY Cosmos: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Naples: 76-90+ (11 goals). NY Cosmos: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Naples have a clear home advantage: they have won 54% of their home matches, while NY Cosmos have lost 71% of their away games. The biggest difference is in defence — the hosts concede an average of 1.31 goals per home match, compared with 2.43 for the visitors away from home, who have kept a clean sheet in just 7% of those matches. The quality of chances created is similar, with average xG of 1.48 for Naples and 1.50 for NY Cosmos. However, the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.76, compared with 1.35 for the hosts. The last five matches offer some encouragement for the visitors: they scored 10 goals in that run, compared with Naples' 3, but both teams conceded 10 and 8 goals respectively. Despite Naples' recent struggles in front of goal, their defensive edge and the teams' home and away records point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 62% of Naples matches and 71% of NY Cosmos matches, compared with a league average of 61%, which points towards goals for both teams. The visitors score an average of 1.29 goals per match, while the hosts concede 1.54; over their last five matches, these figures rose to 2.0 and 1.6, respectively. Naples should have chances to score, as NY Cosmos concede an average of 2.43 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 7% of their matches. However, the hosts’ recent scoring form warrants caution: they have scored just 3 goals in total across their last five matches, and BTTS landed in only 20% of those games. Despite this risk, the visitors’ poor defence and BTTS in each of their last five matches make a goal for both teams the more likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 77% of Naples’ matches and 100% of NY Cosmos’ matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. The visitors concede an average of 2.43 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 7% of their games, increasing the hosts’ chances of scoring. Naples, meanwhile, concede an average of 1.54 goals, while NY Cosmos score 1.29, so an away goal is also a realistic possibility. Although Over 2.5 has occurred frequently—in 69% of Naples’ matches and 79% of NY Cosmos’—it requires three goals, making the safer 1.5 line a clearer value pick. The expected total of 3.30 goals further supports this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Naples leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until the final whistle: NY Cosmos were trailing at half-time in 64% of their matches, conceding an average of 1.29 goals before the break. The hosts also have the edge over the season as a whole, winning 38% of their matches compared with 14% for the visitors, who concede an average of 2.43 goals per match against 1.54 for Naples. The hosts’ higher xG (1.66 versus 1.50) and 5.08 shots on target per match compared with 3.79 further strengthen their chances of winning. However, Naples are not certain to lead at the break, having been level at half-time in 62% of their matches and scoring an average of just 0.38 first-half goals. The last five matches also warrant caution: the visitors averaged 2.0 goals, while the hosts averaged 0.6, making a half-time draw followed by a Naples win a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Naples | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NY Cosmos is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Naples · 1.2 pts / match - NY Cosmos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NY Cosmos is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Naples · 1.3 goals / match - NY Cosmos
Naples is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Naples · 2 goals / match - NY Cosmos
Naples scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
NY Cosmos scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Naples keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Naples
Over / Under - NY Cosmos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Naples is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Naples · 0.85 pts / match - NY Cosmos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Naples - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NY Cosmos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Naples
NY Cosmos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Naples | Liga | NY Cosmos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Naples 0 - 0 - 1 NY Cosmos. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Naples vs NY Cosmos?
The USL League One match finished Naples 2:1 NY Cosmos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Naples vs NY Cosmos?
Naples score 1.11 goals per game on average and NY Cosmos 1.30. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Naples's matches and 67% of NY Cosmos's.
What form are Naples and NY Cosmos in?
Over the last 5 games Naples have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and NY Cosmos 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Naples vs NY Cosmos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.