Napoli vs Bologna: match statistics
Napoli vs Bologna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napoli played Bologna in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 11 May 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Napoli: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bologna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napoli scores 1.49 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Bologna scores 1.20 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napoli 49%, Bologna 43%. Over 2.5: Napoli 51%, Bologna 43%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Napoli has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.40. Napoli: 13.3 shots per match, Bologna: 13.1.
Match halves
Napoli: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 0.71. Bologna: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Napoli: 0-15 (11 goals). Bologna: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Napoli are the favorites, particularly at home: the hosts average 1.76 goals scored and only 0.88 goals conceded at their stadium, with a 71% home win rate. Offensively Napoli generate 1.61 xG per home match versus Bologna’s 1.21 xG on the road and record more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.76), which translates into a higher volume of clear scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Napoli have scored 6 and conceded 3, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Bologna have only 2 scored and 8 conceded with 0.8 points per game in that period. Defensive metrics also favor Napoli: the hosts have 35% clean sheets at home and an average xG against of 1.13, whereas Bologna have 24% clean sheets away and xG against of 1.30. Considering the superiority in chance creation, the better recent five-match record and the league positions (Napoli 2nd, Bologna 10th), I tip a Napoli victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - No — probability estimated at 70% for 'no' and 30% for 'yes'. Napoli’s home-season BTTS is 28% and only 20% in the last 5 matches, while Bologna’s season BTTS is 59% but 0% in the last 5 games, which favors a No Goal/No Goal scenario. In their last 5 matches Napoli averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 0.6 (6 scored and 3 conceded), whereas Bologna away averages 0.4 goals scored and concedes 1.6 (2 scored and 8 conceded), indicating offensive issues for the visitors. xG and chance metrics favor the hosts: Napoli xG for 1.58 vs xG against 1.00 and 14.94 shots on average, while Bologna has xG for 1.21, xG against 1.30 and 11.18 shots; hosts create more opportunities and visitors have fewer chances on goal. Although Bologna has a higher shot conversion (14% vs Napoli 6%), Napoli’s superiority in chance creation and 39% clean sheets at home (vs 24% away clean sheets for visitors) make 'no' the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for the match is 2.79 (Napoli 1.58 vs Bologna 1.21), which indicates clear potential for at least 2 goals. Seasonal shares of matches over 1.5 are 67% for Napoli and 76% for Bologna (avg ~72%), so Over 1.5 has strong historical backing. The 2.5 line is more balanced — Napoli has only 33% of matches >2.5, Bologna 53% (avg 43%), but the total xG of 2.79 and Napoli’s last 5 matches (average xG 1.67 and 1.2 goals scored) push the probability of Over 2.5 to around 56%. The 3.5 line looks unlikely: seasonal overs are 11% (Napoli) and 35% (Bologna), so I assess Over 3.5 at about 20%. Additionally, Napoli averages 14.94 shots (3.83 on target) with a low conversion of 6%, and Bologna 11.18 shots with a 14% conversion, which may slow Napoli’s xG realization, but the strongest signal remains Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bologna shows a stronger away record: the visitors won 47% of away matches and led at the break in 6 games (35%), while Napoli win only 33% at home and led at the break in just 2 matches (11%). In terms of goals, Bologna average 1.53 goals away and 0.71 by half-time, whereas Napoli at home record 0.89 goals per game and only 0.28 goals by half-time, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will be more active offensively. Napoli generate higher xG (1.58 vs. Bologna’s 1.21) but have a very low conversion rate (6% vs. 14%) and simultaneously keep a clean sheet at half-time in 72% of home matches, which together indicate a high probability of a draw at the break despite the home side’s advantage in chances. Considering the frequent half-time draws (Napoli 61%, Bologna 53%) and Bologna’s greater efficiency in the second half (1.53 goals away and 47% wins), the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win (X/2); realistic alternatives are X/X (22%) and 2/2 (14%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napoli | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Napoli is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Napoli · 1.4 pts / match - Bologna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Napoli is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.49 goals / match - Napoli · 1.2 goals / match - Bologna
Napoli is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Napoli · 1.17 goals / match - Bologna
Napoli scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
Bologna scores in 69% of matches (24 of 35 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Napoli
Over / Under - Bologna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / match - Napoli · 1.26 pts / match - Bologna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bologna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napoli
Bologna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Napoli | Liga | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.41 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 49% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Napoli 0 - 0 - 1 Bologna. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napoli vs Bologna?
The Serie A match finished Napoli 2:3 Bologna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napoli vs Bologna?
Napoli score 1.49 goals per game on average and Bologna 1.20. The Serie A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Napoli's matches and 43% of Bologna's.
What form are Napoli and Bologna in?
Over the last 5 games Napoli have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bologna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napoli vs Bologna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.