Napoli vs Cremonese: match statistics
Napoli vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napoli played Cremonese in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Napoli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Cremonese: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napoli scores 1.45 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Cremonese scores 0.79 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napoli 52%, Cremonese 42%. Over 2.5: Napoli 52%, Cremonese 39%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Napoli has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.05. Napoli: 13.1 shots per match, Cremonese: 9.2.
Match halves
Napoli: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.73. Cremonese: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Napoli: 0-15 (10 goals). Cremonese: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Napoli are clear favorites: they have scored 48 goals this season and average 1.63 goals at home with xG 1.55 and a 69% home win rate, while Cremonese have 26 goals this season and average 0.76 goals away with xG 0.94 and only a 24% away win rate. In shot terms Napoli produce 13.13 attempts and 4.94 on-target shots per home match with a 12% conversion, whereas Cremonese average 8 attempts and 2.76 on-target with 10% efficiency, indicating a clear advantage in quality of chances. Defensively the hosts concede 0.94 goals per home match (xGA 1.14) compared to 1.41 conceded by Cremonese on the road (xGA 1.94), and the goal difference in Napoli’s home matches is +11 versus -11 for Cremonese away. Form trends confirm the edge: Napoli in the last 5 matches have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per match on average), while Cremonese have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 points on average) and have conceded 7 goals in those five games. Given the superior finishing (1.63 vs 0.76 goals), higher number of on-target shots (4.94 vs 2.76) and more solid home defense (0.94 vs 1.41 conceded), I assign a 75% chance to a Napoli win, 15% to a draw and 10% to a Cremonese upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics point to a "No" (No Goal) scenario: Napoli posts a season BTTS of 50% versus Cremonese's 35%, with league background at 46% BTTS. Napoli is clearly superior in goals and chances — season 48 scored and 33 conceded, xG 1.17 and on average 3.63 shots on target, while Cremonese has 26 scored, 47 conceded, xG 0.94 and 2.76 shots on target. In the last 5 matches Napoli scored 5 and conceded 4 (avg 1.0/0.8), whereas Cremonese scored 4 and conceded 7 (0.8/1.4), indicating Napoli has the better defensive form. Cremonese has a low season goals-per-game of 0.76 and only 35% BTTS away, and Napoli has recently limited opponents' xG to 0.92 over the last 5 matches, all of which reduces the chance of the visitors scoring. Considering these figures (50%/35% BTTS, xG 1.17 vs 0.94, L5 conceded 0.8 vs 1.4 and season goals 48–26), I assess probability of 'No' at 62% and 'Yes' at 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of about 2.70 goals: Napoli 1.60 and Cremonese 1.10. The basis is xG values: Napoli has xG_for at home 1.17, while Cremonese concedes xG_against 1.94 (average (1.17+1.94)/2 ≈1.56 → forecast 1.60); conversely Cremonese has xG_for_away 0.94 and Napoli xG_against_home 1.57 (average ≈1.26, adjusted to 1.10 taking into account Napoli’s last 5 matches with xG_against 0.92). With an expected total of 2.70 goals the model yields probabilities of over 1.5 ≈75%, over 2.5 ≈51% and over 3.5 ≈29%. Additionally Napoli averages 10.44 shots and 3.63 on target at home versus Cremonese’s 8.00 and 2.76, supporting a higher scoring potential for the hosts, but seasonal over 2.5 rates are 38% for Napoli and 41% for Cremonese, so over 2.5 holds only a marginal edge. Therefore I recommend taking the over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (over 1.5) due to the relatively high probability ~75% and moderate risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1). A draw at the break is supported by 44% of home matches being level at half-time and a low average of goals in the first 45 minutes (0.94 for the home side versus 1.06 for the away side). Napoli posts a higher xG (1.17 vs. Cremonese’s 0.94) and creates more chances (10.44 shots and 3.63 on target versus 8.00 and 2.76), which gives them the edge in the second half. In the last five matches the home team won 60% of games while the visitors won only 20%, and additionally Napoli have shown the ability to complete turnarounds (they were trailing at half-time in 60% of those matches), therefore the HT/FT scenario of draw at the break and home victory appears to be the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napoli | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Napoli is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Napoli · 0.8 pts / match - Cremonese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Napoli is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Napoli · 0.79 goals / match - Cremonese
Napoli is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Napoli · 1.42 goals / match - Cremonese
Napoli scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Cremonese scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Napoli
Over / Under - Cremonese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Napoli · 0.91 pts / match - Cremonese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napoli
Cremonese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Napoli | Liga | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Napoli 1 - 0 - 0 Cremonese. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napoli vs Cremonese?
The Serie A match finished Napoli 4:0 Cremonese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napoli vs Cremonese?
Napoli score 1.45 goals per game on average and Cremonese 0.79. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Napoli's matches and 42% of Cremonese's.
What form are Napoli and Cremonese in?
Over the last 5 games Napoli have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Cremonese 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napoli vs Cremonese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Napoli vs Cremonese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.