Napoli vs Fiorentina: match statistics
Napoli clearly dominates this matchup, boasting an impressive home record with a 70% win rate and just one draw at their stadium this season. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per match at home, while conceding only 0.8 goals, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Fiorentina shows very poor away form with only a 9% win rate, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8 on the road. The visitors struggle to convert chances (7% shot conversion rate) and fail to score in 45% of their away matches. Napoli's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%), average xG (1.56 vs 1.16), and significantly better home form (wwwwdwwddw) further confirm their clear superiority. Considering all statistics, a home win is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Napoli vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napoli play Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 31 January 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Napoli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napoli scores 1.53 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napoli 47%, Fiorentina 58%. Over 2.5: Napoli 53%, Fiorentina 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Napoli has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.34. Napoli: 13.2 shots per match, Fiorentina: 12.9.
Match halves
Napoli: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.71. Fiorentina: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Napoli: 0-15 (11 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Napoli clearly dominates this matchup, boasting an impressive home record with a 70% win rate and just one draw at their stadium this season. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per match at home, while conceding only 0.8 goals, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Fiorentina shows very poor away form with only a 9% win rate, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8 on the road. The visitors struggle to convert chances (7% shot conversion rate) and fail to score in 45% of their away matches. Napoli's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%), average xG (1.56 vs 1.16), and significantly better home form (wwwwdwwddw) further confirm their clear superiority. Considering all statistics, a home win is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napoli | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Napoli is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Napoli · 1.2 pts / match - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Napoli is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Napoli · 1.08 goals / match - Fiorentina
Napoli is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Napoli · 1.32 goals / match - Fiorentina
Napoli scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Napoli
Over / Under — Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Napoli · 1.16 pts / match - Fiorentina
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napoli
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Napoli | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.43 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Napoli 1 - 0 - 0 Fiorentina. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napoli vs Fiorentina?
The Serie A match finished Napoli 2:1 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napoli vs Fiorentina?
Napoli score 1.53 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.08. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Napoli's matches and 58% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Napoli and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Napoli have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napoli vs Fiorentina?
The statistical background for Napoli vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.