Napoli vs Fiorentina: match statistics
Napoli clearly dominates this matchup, boasting an impressive home record with a 70% win rate and just one draw at their stadium this season. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per match at home, while conceding only 0.8 goals, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Fiorentina shows very poor away form with only a 9% win rate, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8 on the road. The visitors struggle to convert chances (7% shot conversion rate) and fail to score in 45% of their away matches. Napoli's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%), average xG (1.56 vs 1.16), and significantly better home form (wwwwdwwddw) further confirm their clear superiority. Considering all statistics, a home win is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Napoli vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napoli played Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Napoli: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Fiorentina: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napoli scores 1.41 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.09 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napoli 41%, Fiorentina 68%. Over 2.5: Napoli 45%, Fiorentina 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Napoli has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.42. Napoli: 12.9 shots per match, Fiorentina: 13.7.
Match halves
Napoli: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.68. Fiorentina: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Napoli: 31-45+ (7 goals). Fiorentina: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Napoli clearly dominates this matchup, boasting an impressive home record with a 70% win rate and just one draw at their stadium this season. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per match at home, while conceding only 0.8 goals, resulting in a positive goal difference of +9. Fiorentina shows very poor away form with only a 9% win rate, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8 on the road. The visitors struggle to convert chances (7% shot conversion rate) and fail to score in 45% of their away matches. Napoli's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%), average xG (1.56 vs 1.16), and significantly better home form (wwwwdwwddw) further confirm their clear superiority. Considering all statistics, a home win is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napoli | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fiorentina is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Napoli · 1.6 pts / match - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Napoli is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Napoli · 1.09 goals / match - Fiorentina
Napoli is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Napoli · 1.55 goals / match - Fiorentina
Napoli scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Fiorentina scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Napoli
Over / Under - Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Napoli · 0.86 pts / match - Fiorentina
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napoli
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Napoli | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.32 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 45% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Napoli 1 - 0 - 0 Fiorentina. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napoli vs Fiorentina?
The Serie A match finished Napoli 2:1 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napoli vs Fiorentina?
Napoli score 1.41 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.09. The Serie A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Napoli's matches and 68% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Napoli and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Napoli have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Fiorentina 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napoli vs Fiorentina?
The statistical background for Napoli vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.