Napredak vs Bačka Topola: match statistics
Napredak vs Bačka Topola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napredak play Bačka Topola in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Napredak: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bačka Topola: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napredak scores 0.81 and concedes 2.05 goals per match. Bačka Topola scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napredak 51%, Bačka Topola 57%. Over 2.5: Napredak 59%, Bačka Topola 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bačka Topola has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.20. Napredak: 9.5 shots per match, Bačka Topola: 13.9.
Match halves
Napredak: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57. Bačka Topola: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Napredak: 46-60 (10 goals). Bačka Topola: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The match looks balanced: Napredak score on average 1.29 goals per home game (average xG 1.45), register 3.36 shots on target and fail to score in 21% of home matches, while Bačka average 0.86 goals away (xG 1.28), 3.14 shots on target and fail to score in 43% of away games. However, the hosts have serious defensive issues — they concede 2.36 goals at home on average and 61 goals overall this season, whereas Bačka concede 1.29 goals away and 31 goals in total, giving the visitors a defensive edge. Form of both teams is poor: in their last five matches Napredak have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.4 points per game, and Bačka 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses with 0.6 points per game. Napredak have not kept a clean sheet at home (0% clean sheets), whereas Bačka have 21% clean sheets away and higher possession (53% vs 49%), which increases the visitors' chances of controlling the game. As a result the most likely outcome appears to be a draw; I suggest probability distribution: home 20%, draw 45%, away 35%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napredak | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bačka Topola is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Napredak · 1 pts / match - Bačka Topola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bačka Topola is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Napredak · 1.22 goals / match - Bačka Topola
Bačka Topola is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.05 goals / match - Napredak · 1.22 goals / match - Bačka Topola
Napredak scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Bačka Topola keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Bačka Topola scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Napredak keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Napredak
Over / Under — Bačka Topola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bačka Topola is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Napredak · 1.14 pts / match - Bačka Topola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napredak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bačka Topola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napredak
Bačka Topola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Napredak | Liga | Bačka Topola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Napredak 0 - 1 - 1 Bačka Topola. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napredak vs Bačka Topola?
The SuperLiga match finished Napredak 1:2 Bačka Topola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Napredak and Bačka Topola?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Napredak won 0, Bačka Topola won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Napredak vs Bačka Topola?
Napredak score 0.81 goals per game on average and Bačka Topola 1.22. The SuperLiga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Napredak's matches and 57% of Bačka Topola's.
What form are Napredak and Bačka Topola in?
Over the last 5 games Napredak have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bačka Topola 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napredak vs Bačka Topola?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.