Napredak vs OFK Beograd: match statistics
OFK Beograd clearly outperforms Napredak in terms of form and results. The hosts sit in 16th place in the table with a mere 15% win rate at home and a disastrous streak of 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Napredak concedes an average of 2.38 goals per home game and has not recorded a single clean sheet in their home fixtures. OFK Beograd presents solid away form with a 46% away win rate, 31% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+2). The visitors have secured 1.6 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Napredak managed only 0.2 points. The xG statistics also favor OFK Beograd, who demonstrate better efficiency in both attack and defense, making them the clear favorites for this encounter.
Napredak vs OFK Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Napredak played OFK Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Napredak: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. OFK Beograd: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Napredak scores 0.85 and concedes 2.12 goals per match. OFK Beograd scores 1.23 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Napredak 58%, OFK Beograd 46%. Over 2.5: Napredak 62%, OFK Beograd 42%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
OFK Beograd has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.26. Napredak: 10.3 shots per match, OFK Beograd: 11.2.
Match halves
Napredak: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.58. OFK Beograd: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Napredak: 46-60 (8 goals). OFK Beograd: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
OFK Beograd clearly outperforms Napredak in terms of form and results. The hosts sit in 16th place in the table with a mere 15% win rate at home and a disastrous streak of 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Napredak concedes an average of 2.38 goals per home game and has not recorded a single clean sheet in their home fixtures. OFK Beograd presents solid away form with a 46% away win rate, 31% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+2). The visitors have secured 1.6 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Napredak managed only 0.2 points. The xG statistics also favor OFK Beograd, who demonstrate better efficiency in both attack and defense, making them the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Napredak | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
OFK Beograd is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Napredak · 1.6 pts / match - OFK Beograd
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OFK Beograd is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Napredak · 1.23 goals / match - OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.12 goals / match - Napredak · 1.27 goals / match - OFK Beograd
Napredak scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while OFK Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
OFK Beograd scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Napredak keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Napredak
Over / Under - OFK Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
OFK Beograd is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Napredak · 1.12 pts / match - OFK Beograd
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Napredak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
OFK Beograd - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Napredak
OFK Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Napredak | Liga | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Napredak 0 - 0 - 1 OFK Beograd. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Napredak vs OFK Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Napredak 2:2 OFK Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Napredak vs OFK Beograd?
Napredak score 0.85 goals per game on average and OFK Beograd 1.23. The SuperLiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Napredak's matches and 46% of OFK Beograd's.
What form are Napredak and OFK Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Napredak have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and OFK Beograd 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Napredak vs OFK Beograd?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.