Naprzód Jędrzejów vs KS Hetman Zamosc: match statistics

KS Hetman Zamość have a slightly better record over their last five matches, collecting 7 points compared to Naprzód Jędrzejów’s 5, while also scoring 9 goals to their opponents’ 6 during that period. The visitors create a high volume of chances away from home, averaging 27 shots, including 13 on target, with an xG of as much as 2.97 compared to the hosts’ 1.87 at home. However, Hetman’s main issue is their conversion rate of just 7%, as well as a defence that concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away match despite an xGA of only 0.80. At home, Naprzód have won 50% of their matches and average 1.75 goals, but have failed to score in half of their home fixtures. With Hetman drawing 67% of their away matches and the two teams being of comparable quality, a share of the points appears to be the most likely outcome.

BTTS - Yes is primarily supported by Hetman’s defensive profile: they concede an average of 2.33 goals away from home and have kept no clean sheets. Naprzód score an average of 1.50 goals at home, while Hetman’s opponents allow their rivals a high number of chances, which should favour a goal for the hosts. The visitors are also consistently effective in attack, scoring an average of 1.67 goals, with that figure rising to 1.80 over their last 5 matches. In their last five games, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of cases, while across the entire season Hetman have had BTTS in 100% of their matches, compared with the league average of 51%. Naprzód can defend more solidly, conceding an average of 0.75 goals, but they have allowed 9 goals in their last 5 appearances, so Hetman’s chances of scoring remain high.

The match profile clearly favors at least two goals: Over 1.5 goals landed in 75% of Naprzód’s matches and in all of Hetman’s matches. Hetman scores an average of 1.67 goals, while Naprzód conceded 1.8 goals per game in their last five appearances. The visitors create a very high number of chances, averaging 27 shots, including 13 on target, with an average xG of 2.97. In the last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals line landed in 60% of the hosts’ games and 80% of the visitors’ games, reinforcing the forecast of 3.20 goals. However, the safest choice remains Over 1.5, as both teams score regularly and Hetman have yet to keep a clean sheet.

The strongest signal points to Hetman leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until full time, as the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 50% of their last five matches, while Naprzód were trailing at that stage in 60%. In this sample, the Zamość side averaged 1.8 goals per match compared with the hosts’ 1.2, while their average goals conceded stood at 1.6, against 1.8 for Naprzód. The second half is particularly important: Hetman scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded just 0.5, whereas the hosts scored 0.8. Although Naprzód concede only 0.75 goals on average at home, the visitors generate very high attacking activity, averaging 27 shots, 13 shots on target and an xG of 2.97, which increases the likelihood of an away win. This supports the HT/FT 2/2 selection.