Nasaf vs Andijan: match statistics
Nasaf vs Andijan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasaf played Andijan in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nasaf: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Andijan: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasaf scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Andijan scores 1.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasaf 25%, Andijan 25%. Over 2.5: Nasaf 0%, Andijan 75%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Nasaf has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.37. Nasaf: 14.0 shots per match, Andijan: 12.0.
Match halves
Nasaf: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Andijan: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nasaf: 76-90+ (2 goals). Andijan: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Nasaf win (1). At home the hosts generate 1.65 xG on average, produce 15 shots (4.5 on target) per match, concede 0.5 goals on average and keep 50% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game. Andijan away records only 1.01 xG, 8.5 shots (1.5 on target) per match, concedes 2.5 goals on the road and has lost 100% of away matches. Nasaf’s main advantages are possession dominance (64% vs 46%), significantly more shots per game (15 vs 8.5) and higher xG (1.65 vs 1.01), indicating better quality of chances. The risk stems from the hosts’ low conversion—only 0.5 goals taken from 1.65 xG—and the fact Andijan scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, so I expect a Nasaf win by a small margin.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong argument against BTTS (Both Teams To Score) is Nasaf's form: a season clean sheet rate of 100% and an average of 0.0 goals conceded per match, combined with 3.0 goals scored and 6.0 shots on target per game. Andijan this season scores only 0.5 goals and concedes 2.5 goals per match; additionally they average 8.5 shots with only 1.5 on target and have a 6% conversion, which limits their real attacking threat. From an xG perspective Nasaf has xG_for 1.74 versus xG_against 0.81, while Andijan has xG_for 1.01 versus xG_against 1.26, so expected offensive strength favors the hosts. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% of Nasaf games and 20% of Andijan games, and the league BTTS rate is 41%, therefore historically both teams rarely score in the same match. As a result I assign 78% to no BTTS and 22% to BTTS, so the best pick is 'No' due to Nasaf's 100% clean sheets and Andijan's poor conversion and low number of shots on target.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Data analysis indicates a high goal potential: Nasaf scores an average of 3.0 goals at home with xG 1.74, while Andijan concedes an average of 2.5 goals with xG against 1.26, yielding expected 1.50 goals for the home side and 0.91 for the visitors (total 2.41). Both teams have 100% of matches this season over 1.5 goals, and Andijan additionally has 100% of matches over 2.5 (Nasaf 50% over 2.5), which is a strong signal for overs. Nasaf averages 15.5 shots and 6.0 shots on target with a 19% conversion, whereas Andijan records 8.5 shots, 1.5 on target and a 6% conversion, so the hosts have an advantage in creating and finishing chances. Based on this, I recommend the over side and as the strongest signal the line Over 1.5 with high probability; Over 2.5 also looks likely (~70%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nasaf led at the break in 2 of 2 home matches (100%) and scores on average 1.5 goals by half-time compared to 0.0 for Andijan, so HT=1 is clearly the most likely. Over 90 minutes Nasaf averages 3.0 home goals and concedes none (0.0), while Andijan scores 0.5 away and concedes 2.5 on average, which strongly supports a home win. Additionally, xG 1.74 for Nasaf versus 1.01 for Andijan, 6.0 shots on target versus 1.5 and shot conversion 19% vs 6% confirm the attacking superiority and greater finishing efficiency. The hosts have 100% clean sheets at home (seasonCSPercentage_home 100.0), and Andijan have taken no points away (seasonPPG_away 0.0, 100% losses), so the scenario of Nasaf leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasaf | Andijan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nasaf is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.5 pts / match - Andijan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Andijan is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nasaf · 1.75 goals / match - Andijan
Nasaf is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Nasaf · 1.25 goals / match - Andijan
Nasaf scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Andijan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Andijan scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasaf
Over / Under - Andijan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Andijan is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.5 pts / match - Andijan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasaf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Andijan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasaf
Andijan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Nasaf | Liga | Andijan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.44 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 50% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nasaf 0 - 2 - 0 Andijan. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasaf vs Andijan?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Nasaf 1:0 Andijan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nasaf and Andijan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nasaf won 0, Andijan won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasaf vs Andijan?
Nasaf score 1.00 goals per game on average and Andijan 1.75. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Nasaf's matches and 25% of Andijan's.
What form are Nasaf and Andijan in?
Over the last 5 games Nasaf have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Andijan 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasaf vs Andijan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.