Nasaf vs Neftchi: match statistics
Nasaf vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasaf played Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: Markaziy Stadion. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
Nasaf: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Neftchi: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasaf scores 1.05 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.37 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasaf 53%, Neftchi 32%. Over 2.5: Nasaf 32%, Neftchi 68%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.49. Nasaf: 13.0 shots per match, Neftchi: 16.1.
Match halves
Nasaf: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.68. Neftchi: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.37.
Goals by minute
Nasaf: 76-90+ (6 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi sit top of the table, having won 14 of their 19 league matches this season and recorded 4 victories in their last five games, while Nasaf have collected just 1 point during the same period after suffering 4 defeats. The visitors are significantly more clinical away from home, averaging 2.11 goals with a 14% shot-conversion rate, whereas Nasaf score just 0.78 goals per home match and fail to find the net in 33% of their games. Neftchi’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created, with an average away xG of 1.84 compared with Nasaf’s 1.58 at home. The league leaders concede only 0.56 goals per away match and keep a clean sheet in 78% of such games, significantly limiting the hosts’ chances of ending their poor run. Nasaf do average 57% possession at home, but with a shot-conversion rate of just 6%, they should struggle to make their home advantage count.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: the seasonal rate of matches in which both teams scored is only 40% for Nasaf and 22% for Neftchi, compared with the league average of 53%. In their last five matches, both teams landed BTTS in just 20% of cases, while Nasaf scored only 1 goal during this period, averaging 0.2 per match. Neftchi kept a clean sheet in 78% of its matches this season and concedes just 0.56 goals on average, which significantly reduces the hosts’ chances of scoring. Nasaf also defends solidly, with an average of 0.50 goals conceded and 50% clean sheets, so even if the visitors are in good scoring form, a No Goal scenario for one of the teams is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, as Neftchi have conceded an average of just 0.56 goals per match throughout the season and have kept a clean sheet in 78% of their games. Nasaf are also experiencing a clear offensive crisis: they have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game, with an xG of 1.23. Neftchi are in significantly better current form, scoring an average of 2.6 goals across their last five appearances, while Nasaf have conceded only 1.0 goal per match during this period, limiting the visitors’ projection to around 1.42 goals. Although the season-long average total goals in matches involving the two teams stand at 2.60 and 2.11, respectively, only 30% of Nasaf’s matches and 33% of Neftchi’s exceeded the 3.5-goal line. Therefore, the scenario of a maximum of three goals has a clear statistical edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from current form: Nasaf have averaged just 0.2 goals over their last five matches, have not won any of them, and have lost 4 of 5, while Neftchi have scored 2.6 goals per game and won 4 of their last 5. The hosts have failed to score before half-time in this period and were trailing at the break in 60% of matches; Neftchi were never behind at half-time, scoring an average of 0.8 goals before the interval. The difference is also evident after the break, with the visitors recently averaging 1.8 goals per match compared with just 0.2 for Nasaf. Neftchi also boast a highly consistent defence, keeping a clean sheet in 78% of their league matches and in 80% of their last five games at half-time. Although Nasaf have strong home-season statistics, their current form clearly points towards Neftchi leading at the break and maintaining their victory through to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasaf | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nasaf · 2 pts / match - Neftchi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 126% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Nasaf · 2.37 goals / match - Neftchi
Neftchi is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Nasaf · 0.53 goals / match - Neftchi
Nasaf scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 matches).
Neftchi scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasaf
Over / Under - Neftchi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.89 pts / match - Neftchi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasaf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasaf
Neftchi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Nasaf | Liga | Neftchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 53% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 67% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Nasaf 0 - 1 - 2 Neftchi. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasaf vs Neftchi?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Nasaf 6:2 Neftchi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nasaf and Neftchi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nasaf won 0, Neftchi won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasaf vs Neftchi?
Nasaf score 1.05 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.37. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Nasaf's matches and 32% of Neftchi's.
What form are Nasaf and Neftchi in?
Over the last 5 games Nasaf have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Neftchi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasaf vs Neftchi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.