Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueMarkaziy StadionData current as of 31 August 2026

Nasaf vs Neftchi: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nasaf vs Neftchi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nasaf play Neftchi in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 4 September 2026. Venue: Markaziy Stadion.

Current form

Nasaf: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Neftchi: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nasaf scores 1.05 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Neftchi scores 2.37 and concedes 0.53. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nasaf 53%, Neftchi 32%. Over 2.5: Nasaf 32%, Neftchi 68%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Neftchi has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.49. Nasaf: 13.0 shots per match, Neftchi: 16.1.

Match halves

Nasaf: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.68. Neftchi: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.37.

Goals by minute

Nasaf: 76-90+ (6 goals). Neftchi: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.05Goals scored / match2.37
NasafNeftchi
0.95Goals conceded / match0.53
NasafNeftchi
53%Average possession57%
NasafNeftchi
4.37Shots on target / match6.47
NasafNeftchi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match16.11
NasafNeftchi
4.37Shots on target6.47
NasafNeftchi
8.1%Shot conversion14.7%
NasafNeftchi
53%Possession57%
NasafNeftchi
1.49xG for1.88
NasafNeftchi
1.34xG against1.17
NasafNeftchi

Shooting quality

Nasaf: BalancedNeftchi: Dominant
NasafNeftchi
Accuracy (shots on target)34%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftchi is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Nasaf · 2 pts / match - Neftchi

Nasaf
WDLLL
Season result split
32% W37% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-6
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Neftchi
DWWLW
Season result split
74% W16% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-3-2
2.37 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftchi is 126% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Nasaf · 2.37 goals / match - Neftchi

Neftchi is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Nasaf · 0.53 goals / match - Neftchi

Nasaf scoring profile: mixed

Nasaf scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 matches).

Neftchi scoring profile: very strong

Neftchi scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

20Goals scored (season)45
NasafNeftchi
18Goals conceded (season)10
NasafNeftchi
2Average goals in match2.89
NasafNeftchi
3Goals scored (last 5)12
NasafNeftchi
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
NasafNeftchi

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal84%
NasafNeftchi
26%2 goals68%
NasafNeftchi
5%3 goals53%
NasafNeftchi
0%4 goals21%
NasafNeftchi

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal37%
NasafNeftchi
21%2 goals5%
NasafNeftchi
5%3 goals5%
NasafNeftchi
0%4 goals5%
NasafNeftchi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
NasafNeftchi
5%BTTS in both halves0%
NasafNeftchi
16%Scored in both halves58%
NasafNeftchi

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
NasafNeftchi
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS42%
NasafNeftchi
40%BTTS - last 520%
NasafNeftchi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
NasafNeftchi
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
NasafNeftchi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
NasafNeftchi

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
NasafNeftchi
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
NasafNeftchi
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
NasafNeftchi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftchi is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.89 pts / match - Neftchi

Nasaf - half-time state
11% leading63% draw26% trailing
Neftchi - half-time state
53% leading32% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)1.89
NasafNeftchi
0.37Goals scored (1st half)1
NasafNeftchi
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
NasafNeftchi
0.84Average goals (1st half)1.37
NasafNeftchi
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
NasafNeftchi
68%No goal before half-time32%
NasafNeftchi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)2.42
NasafNeftchi
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)1.37
NasafNeftchi
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.16
NasafNeftchi
1.16Average goals (2nd half)1.53
NasafNeftchi
58%Clean sheet after half-time95%
NasafNeftchi
42%No goal after half-time26%
NasafNeftchi

Nasaf - second-half results

32% W53% R16% P
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding291%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Neftchi - second-half results

74% W21% R5% P
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+23
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nasaf - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Neftchi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nasaf
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
0
46-60
3
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Neftchi
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
8
3
31-45
10
1
46-60
6
1
61-75
10
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nasaf

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Neftchi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
198%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

NasafLigaNeftchi
Average goals in match 2.002.59 2.89
Both teams scored 53%53% 32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%51% 68%
Clean sheets 32%27% 63%
Goal before half-time 58%67% 84%
Goal after half-time 68%76% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nasaf 0 - 1 - 2 Neftchi. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Neftchi
2 : 1
Nasaf
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
FC Nasaf Qarshi
FC Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona

FAQ

When do Nasaf and Neftchi play?

Nasaf face Neftchi on 4 September 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Markaziy Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nasaf and Neftchi?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nasaf won 0, Neftchi won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nasaf vs Neftchi?

Nasaf score 1.05 goals per game on average and Neftchi 2.37. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Nasaf's matches and 32% of Neftchi's.

What form are Nasaf and Neftchi in?

Over the last 5 games Nasaf have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Neftchi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasaf vs Neftchi?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.