Nasaf vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics
Nasaf demonstrates a clear advantage in all key statistics, making them the clear favorite for this match. The hosts have a 100% win rate in home matches, without conceding a single goal at their own stadium and maintaining 100% clean sheets. Their advantage in possession (70% vs 51%), average xG (1.69 vs 0.75), and shot quality (5 on target per match vs 1) is overwhelming. Termez Surkhon, on the other hand, displays terrible away form - 100% losses, averaging 3 goals conceded per match and a zero win percentage. Additionally, the visitors' negative goal difference (-2) compared to Nasaf's perfect defense (+1 in home matches) and the difference in form over the last 5 matches (2.2 points per match vs 1.0) clearly point to a certain victory for the hosts.
Nasaf vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasaf played Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Nasaf: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Termez Surkhon: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasaf scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Termez Surkhon scores 0.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasaf 33%, Termez Surkhon 33%. Over 2.5: Nasaf 0%, Termez Surkhon 67%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Nasaf has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.07. Nasaf: 14.0 shots per match, Termez Surkhon: 10.7.
Match halves
Nasaf: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Nasaf: 76-90+ (2 goals). Termez Surkhon: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasaf demonstrates a clear advantage in all key statistics, making them the clear favorite for this match. The hosts have a 100% win rate in home matches, without conceding a single goal at their own stadium and maintaining 100% clean sheets. Their advantage in possession (70% vs 51%), average xG (1.69 vs 0.75), and shot quality (5 on target per match vs 1) is overwhelming. Termez Surkhon, on the other hand, displays terrible away form - 100% losses, averaging 3 goals conceded per match and a zero win percentage. Additionally, the visitors' negative goal difference (-2) compared to Nasaf's perfect defense (+1 in home matches) and the difference in form over the last 5 matches (2.2 points per match vs 1.0) clearly point to a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasaf | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 6% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nasaf is 606% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Nasaf · 0.33 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasaf is 303% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Nasaf · 0.33 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Nasaf is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Nasaf · 2 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Nasaf scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Termez Surkhon scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasaf
Over / Under - Termez Surkhon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nasaf is 303% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Nasaf · 0.33 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasaf - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasaf
Termez Surkhon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Nasaf | Liga | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.30 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 33% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nasaf 2 - 0 - 0 Termez Surkhon. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasaf vs Termez Surkhon?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Nasaf 0:1 Termez Surkhon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nasaf and Termez Surkhon?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nasaf won 2, Termez Surkhon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasaf vs Termez Surkhon?
Nasaf score 1.33 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 0.33. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Nasaf's matches and 33% of Termez Surkhon's.
What form are Nasaf and Termez Surkhon in?
Over the last 5 games Nasaf have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasaf vs Termez Surkhon?
The statistical background for Nasaf vs Termez Surkhon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.