Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United: match statistics
Nasarawa United holds a decisive advantage as the home team, holding 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 67% home wins and 50% clean sheets. Their average xG (2.15) in home matches significantly exceeds xG Against (1.35), confirming offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Bayelsa United has very poor away results – only 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference (-8), coupled with a very low average goals scored (0.58) and a high rate of matches without a goal scored (50%). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Nasarawa United should control possession (57% on average) and exploit the defensive weakness of the visitors, who concede an average of 1.25 goals away. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a confident home victory.
Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasarawa United played Bayelsa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Nasarawa United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bayelsa United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasarawa United scores 0.96 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Bayelsa United scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasarawa United 38%, Bayelsa United 50%. Over 2.5: Nasarawa United 29%, Bayelsa United 29%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.28. Nasarawa United: 8.9 shots per match, Bayelsa United: 6.3.
Match halves
Nasarawa United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.46. Bayelsa United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (7 goals). Bayelsa United: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasarawa United holds a decisive advantage as the home team, holding 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 67% home wins and 50% clean sheets. Their average xG (2.15) in home matches significantly exceeds xG Against (1.35), confirming offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Bayelsa United has very poor away results – only 17% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference (-8), coupled with a very low average goals scored (0.58) and a high rate of matches without a goal scored (50%). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Nasarawa United should control possession (57% on average) and exploit the defensive weakness of the visitors, who concede an average of 1.25 goals away. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a confident home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nasarawa United is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1 pts / match - Bayelsa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasarawa United is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 0.88 goals / match - Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 1.13 goals / match - Bayelsa United
Nasarawa United scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Bayelsa United scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nasarawa United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.17 pts / match - Bayelsa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasarawa United
Bayelsa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 1.85 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 38% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nasarawa United 1 - 0 - 0 Bayelsa United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 1:1 Bayelsa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?
Nasarawa United score 0.96 goals per game on average and Bayelsa United 0.88. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Nasarawa United's matches and 50% of Bayelsa United's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Bayelsa United in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bayelsa United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United?
The statistical background for Nasarawa United vs Bayelsa United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.