Nasarawa United vs Doma United: match statistics
Nasarawa United vs Doma United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasarawa United played Doma United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Lafia Township Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Nasarawa United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Doma United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasarawa United scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Doma United scores 1.43 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasarawa United 50%, Doma United 43%. Over 2.5: Nasarawa United 33%, Doma United 43%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Doma United has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.53. Nasarawa United: 4.3 shots per match, Doma United: 9.6.
Match halves
Nasarawa United: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Doma United: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Nasarawa United: 16-30 (3 goals). Doma United: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Doma United sit 3rd and Nasarawa United 12th, the home record favors the hosts: they have won 67% of their home matches and remain unbeaten, while the visitors have lost 67% of their away games. Nasarawa concede an average of just 0.33 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, whereas Doma concede an average of 2 goals away. The hosts also create higher-quality chances: their home xG is 1.94, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.19. In their last five matches, Nasarawa conceded 3 goals, while Doma let in as many as 8, further highlighting the hosts’ defensive advantage. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams average 1 goal per match in these conditions, but home advantage tips the prediction in Nasarawa’s favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case against both teams scoring is Nasarawa United’s defensive record: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their matches and concede an average of 0.5 goals, while Doma United score an average of 1.0 goals away from home. Nasarawa also have a clear attacking advantage, recording an xG of 2.34 at home compared with the visitors’ 1.19 away, which points more towards a home goal than a mutual exchange of goals. Caution is warranted, however, as Doma have averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, with an xG of 2.08. Even so, BTTS - Yes has landed in only 25% of Nasarawa’s home matches, making it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has been held in 75% of Nasarawa United's matches and 67% of Doma United's. The hosts average 1.75 goals and 8.67 shots on target at home, so they could score most of the goals in this match. However, Nasarawa's defense limits the visitors' potential, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of home matches. Although Doma concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home, their own scoring average is 1.0, which points more towards a match with two or three goals than four. The projected total of 2.48 goals therefore supports Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nasarawa led at the break in 3 of 4 home matches, while Doma were not ahead after 45 minutes in any of their 3 away games and conceded an average of 1.0 goals in the first half. The hosts won 75% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 0.5; the visitors lost 67% of their away matches and conceded an average of 2.0 goals in those games. Nasarawa’s attacking edge is reflected in their average xG of 2.34 compared with 1.19, and 8.67 shots on target per match compared with 3.5. A half-time draw remains a credible alternative, as Nasarawa were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches overall. Nevertheless, their home record and Doma’s away struggles most strongly support a Nasarawa lead at the break and a home win at full time in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Doma United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nasarawa United is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.4 pts / match - Doma United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Doma United is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 1.43 goals / match - Doma United
Nasarawa United is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 1.14 goals / match - Doma United
Nasarawa United scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Doma United keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Doma United scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Doma United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Doma United is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.71 pts / match - Doma United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Doma United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasarawa United
Doma United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Doma United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Doma United?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 2:0 Doma United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Doma United?
Nasarawa United score 0.83 goals per game on average and Doma United 1.43. The NPFL average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nasarawa United's matches and 43% of Doma United's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Doma United in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Doma United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Doma United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nasarawa United vs Doma United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.