Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Nasarawa United displays impressive home form with 64% wins and only 7% losses at their home ground, providing a solid foundation for victory. The hosts average 1.29 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.5, and their xG (2.09) significantly exceeds the opponents' xG (1.27), indicating dominance in chance creation. Ikorodu City has very poor away results – only 14% wins and as many as 50% losses, with an unfavorable goal difference of -8 and a low average xG (0.94). Moreover, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS%), which, given the hosts' solid defense (50% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. Considering Nasarawa's advantage in possession (57% vs 47%), shooting accuracy, and overall home form, a home win is the most likely scenario, although a draw also remains a realistic option due to both teams' tendency to share points this season.
Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasarawa United played Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nasarawa United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ikorodu City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasarawa United scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Ikorodu City scores 0.93 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasarawa United 36%, Ikorodu City 29%. Over 2.5: Nasarawa United 25%, Ikorodu City 18%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.39. Nasarawa United: 8.5 shots per match, Ikorodu City: 7.3.
Match halves
Nasarawa United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.39. Ikorodu City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (8 goals). Ikorodu City: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasarawa United displays impressive home form with 64% wins and only 7% losses at their home ground, providing a solid foundation for victory. The hosts average 1.29 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.5, and their xG (2.09) significantly exceeds the opponents' xG (1.27), indicating dominance in chance creation. Ikorodu City has very poor away results – only 14% wins and as many as 50% losses, with an unfavorable goal difference of -8 and a low average xG (0.94). Moreover, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (50% FTS%), which, given the hosts' solid defense (50% clean sheets), significantly limits their chances. Considering Nasarawa's advantage in possession (57% vs 47%), shooting accuracy, and overall home form, a home win is the most likely scenario, although a draw also remains a realistic option due to both teams' tendency to share points this season.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ikorodu City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.4 pts / match - Ikorodu City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 0.71 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Nasarawa United scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 57% (16 of 28 matches).
Ikorodu City scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.39 pts / match - Ikorodu City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasarawa United
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.68 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 36% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 25% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nasarawa United 0 - 0 - 1 Ikorodu City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 1:0 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City?
Nasarawa United score 0.89 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 0.93. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Nasarawa United's matches and 29% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ikorodu City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Ikorodu City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.