Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics
Nasarawa United are displaying impressive home form with 70% wins and just 10% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have an edge in expected goals (xG For: 2.2 vs xG Against: 1.27), confirming their dominance in home matches. Niger Tornadoes, however, are struggling badly on the road – with only 10% wins and as much as 80% losses, failing to score in 60% of their matches. The visitors' form in their last five away games is dismal, averaging just 0.5 goals per match and poor shooting statistics (1.6 shots on target per game). Considering the hosts' advantage in possession (57% vs 41%), goal-scoring efficiency, and the goal difference (+9 vs -7), Nasarawa United are the clear favourites for this encounter.
Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasarawa United played Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Nasarawa United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Niger Tornadoes: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasarawa United scores 0.85 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Niger Tornadoes scores 1.25 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasarawa United 25%, Niger Tornadoes 30%. Over 2.5: Nasarawa United 25%, Niger Tornadoes 30%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.50. Nasarawa United: 9.4 shots per match, Niger Tornadoes: 7.2.
Match halves
Nasarawa United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40. Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (6 goals). Niger Tornadoes: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nasarawa United are displaying impressive home form with 70% wins and just 10% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have an edge in expected goals (xG For: 2.2 vs xG Against: 1.27), confirming their dominance in home matches. Niger Tornadoes, however, are struggling badly on the road – with only 10% wins and as much as 80% losses, failing to score in 60% of their matches. The visitors' form in their last five away games is dismal, averaging just 0.5 goals per match and poor shooting statistics (1.6 shots on target per game). Considering the hosts' advantage in possession (57% vs 41%), goal-scoring efficiency, and the goal difference (+9 vs -7), Nasarawa United are the clear favourites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.54 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Niger Tornadoes is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 1.25 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes
Nasarawa United is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 0.85 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes
Nasarawa United scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Niger Tornadoes scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Niger Tornadoes is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 1.65 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasarawa United
Niger Tornadoes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.55 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nasarawa United 0 - 0 - 1 Niger Tornadoes. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 2:1 Niger Tornadoes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
Nasarawa United score 0.85 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 1.25. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Nasarawa United's matches and 30% of Niger Tornadoes's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Niger Tornadoes in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes?
The statistical background for Nasarawa United vs Niger Tornadoes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.