Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC: match statistics
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC play Atlanta United FC in MLS (United States). The match date is 18 July 2026 at 02:10. Venue: GEODIS Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nashville SC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Atlanta United FC: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 2.06 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Atlanta United FC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 44%, Atlanta United FC 56%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 56%, Atlanta United FC 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Atlanta United FC has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.36. Nashville SC: 11.4 shots per match, Atlanta United FC: 13.2.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.13. Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 16-30 (7 goals). Atlanta United FC: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win ('1'). Nashville wins 86% of home matches, remains unbeaten at home (loss% 0) and averages 3.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per home game, yielding a home goal difference of +14. Atlanta have won only 17% of away matches, lost 67%, average 0.5 goals per away game and failed to score in 67% of away fixtures, conceding 1.5 goals on average. Nashville registers 6.57 shots on target per game with a 24% conversion rate and xG 1.63, while Atlanta has 3.33 shots on target and only a 4% conversion with xG 1.41, indicating a clear home advantage in finishing despite similar xG. In the last 5 matches Nashville scored 10 goals and averages 2 points per game, whereas Atlanta have 6 goals and average 0.8 points per game; therefore I assess probabilities as 80% home win, 12% draw and 8% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 650% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Nashville SC · 0.4 pts / match - Atlanta United FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 106% better for: goals scored per match.
2.06 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1 goals / match - Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC is 136% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.63 goals / match - Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
Atlanta United FC scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nashville SC
Over / Under — Atlanta United FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1 pts / match - Atlanta United FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlanta United FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.30 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 21% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nashville SC 1 - 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 1:0 Atlanta United FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
Nashville SC score 2.06 goals per game on average and Atlanta United FC 1.00. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Nashville SC's matches and 56% of Atlanta United FC's.
What form are Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Atlanta United FC 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.