Nashville SC vs DC United: match statistics
Nashville SC vs DC United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC played DC United in MLS (United States). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Nashville SC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. DC United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 2.10 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. DC United scores 1.18 and concedes 1.36. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 40%, DC United 36%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 50%, DC United 45%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Nashville SC has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.26. Nashville SC: 12.2 shots per match, DC United: 11.4.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.10. DC United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 16-30 (5 goals). DC United: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville is the favorite in this matchup due to a clear home advantage: they average 4 goals per home game, register 15.25 shots of which 7.25 are on target and have a conversion rate of 26%, with an average xG of 1.76 versus an xG against of 0.91. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal per home game on average and have conceded 6 goals in the season, with 25% of home matches finished as clean sheets. DC United have weaker away metrics: they average 1.14 goals scored, 11 shots and only 3.29 on target, a 10% conversion rate and 38% possession, and in 57% of away matches they fail to score, which limits their offensive potential. Admittedly DC have scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.8 points over that period, but their away xG is only 1.21 with an xG against of 1.53, meaning they generate fewer high-quality chances than Nashville. Considering the superiority in chances (15.25 shots and 7.25 on target), higher home xG and the fact Nashville have no home games without scoring (0%), I predict a home win; estimated probabilities: Nashville win 65%, draw 20%, DC win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators show a divergence: Nashville has BTTS at 50% at home, while DC United away is only 29%, and DC records 43% clean sheets on the road. In the last 5 matches Nashville has only 20% BTTS (scoring 6 and conceding 4 in those 5), whereas DC has 60% BTTS and in their last five scored 12 and conceded 9. xG comparison is similar and not decisive: Nashville xG_for at home 1.36 versus DC xG_against away 1.53, and DC xG_for 1.21 versus Nashville xG_against 1.26. Although the league has a high BTTS rate of 57% and hosts have 75% of matches with over 2.5 goals, the key signal is DC’s high percentage of clean sheets (43%) and DC’s low seasonal away BTTS (29%), therefore I assign a higher probability to No Goal: no 60% vs yes 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based calculation gives 1.45 expected goals for Nashville (used values: xG_for_home 1.36 and xG_against_away 1.53) and 1.24 for DC (xG_for_away 1.21 and xG_against_home 1.26), totaling 2.69 expected goals. Season-long metrics show Nashville matches finished over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases, while DC matches did so in only 29%; however DC have averaged 2.4 goals in their last 5 games and recorded over 2.5 in 60% of those, which increases the risk of a higher goal count. Nashville averages 4.0 shots on target versus DC’s 3.29, with a similar conversion rate of 10% for both teams, so the 2.69 total aligns with attacking intensity and is realistic to achieve, implying a high probability of at least 2 goals (over 1.5 ≈75%). A Poisson model for combined λ=2.69 indicates about a 50% chance for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5, therefore Over 2.5 is only slightly favored while Over 3.5 remains unlikely. Based on this I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (over1.5 75% vs under25%), while Over 2.5 (52%/48%) is a medium-risk option and Over 3.5 (31%/69%) is not recommended.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I pick 1/1 as the strongest scenario: Nashville wins 50% of matches and led at the break in 2 of 4 games (50%), while DC United win only 29% of matches and led at the break in 1 of 7 (14%). Additionally, Nashville has a higher xG (1.36 vs 1.21) and averages more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.29), and DC United concedes 1.53 xG per match versus 1.26 conceded by Nashville, giving the hosts the edge in chance creation. At half-time the hosts score on average 0.5 goals versus 0.29 for the visitors, and Nashville had at least one goal before the break in 4 of 4 matches (100%) compared to 3 of 7 (43%) for DC United, so an HT lead for the hosts is very likely. The visitors have scored on average 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches versus 1.2 for the hosts, which gives them a chance to attempt a comeback, but in the last 5 matches Nashville conceded an average of 0.8 goals vs 1.8 for DC, so maintaining the lead and a Full-Time win for the hosts seems most logical.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1.6 pts / match - DC United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
2.1 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.18 goals / match - DC United
Nashville SC is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.36 goals / match - DC United
Nashville SC scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while DC United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
DC United scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - DC United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1.18 pts / match - DC United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
DC United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
DC United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | DC United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 59% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs DC United?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 2:2 DC United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs DC United?
Nashville SC score 2.10 goals per game on average and DC United 1.18. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Nashville SC's matches and 36% of DC United's.
What form are Nashville SC and DC United in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and DC United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs DC United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nashville SC vs DC United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.