Nashville SC vs Inter Miami: match statistics
Nashville SC vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC played Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: GEODIS Park. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Nashville SC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Inter Miami: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 1.94 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.50 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 44%, Inter Miami 72%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 56%, Inter Miami 72%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.32. Nashville SC: 11.1 shots per match, Inter Miami: 16.2.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00. Inter Miami: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 16-30 (7 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville SC have been exceptionally solid at home: they have won 89% of their matches, remain unbeaten on their own ground, and average 2.78 goals per game. The hosts are also more clinical than Inter Miami in home matches, converting 22% of their shots compared with 17% for the visitors, and they have yet to be held scoreless at home. Inter Miami are in slightly better recent form, collecting 10 points from their last five matches and scoring 11 goals during that run, but their defense has conceded 32 goals this season, compared with just 14 for Nashville. Both teams average 1.50 xG, yet Nashville concede 1.00 goal per home game, while Miami allow 1.50 away from home, which tilts the prediction toward the hosts. An open match is expected, but Nashville’s superior efficiency and home form give them a slightly greater chance of securing victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Nashville records BTTS in 88% of matches, well above Inter Miami’s 60% and the league average of 61%, strongly supporting goals from both sides. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in 87% of their matches, while their opponents average 2.40 goals per game and have scored 11 goals across their last five matches. Nashville also has credible attacking potential: they average 2.63 goals, generate an xG of 2.19, and register 8.13 shots on target per match, while Inter Miami concede an average of 1.50 goals. Nashville’s recent form is more cautious, with BTTS landing in just 40% of their last five matches, but Inter Miami have recorded 80% BTTS over the same period and concede 1.60 goals per game. The strength of the season-long data and the vulnerability of both defences indicate that both teams are more likely to score than a scenario in which at least one team fails to find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly points towards goals: Nashville averages 2.63 total goals in its matches, while Inter Miami averages 2.40. The hosts create chances worth 2.19 xG and record an average of 8.13 shots on target, while Miami allows opponents 1.31 xG per match. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 100% of Nashville’s matches and 80% of Inter Miami’s, while both teams rarely keep a clean sheet: in 13% and 30% of matches, respectively. Nashville’s last five outings were slightly more subdued, but Miami scored 11 goals during this period and had at least three goals in 80% of its matches, maintaining a high probability of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by an Inter Miami win, as Nashville were level at the break in 63% of their matches, compared with 50% for Inter Miami. However, the hosts are dangerous from the outset: they average 1.75 goals before half-time and record 8.13 shots on target per match, meaning a Nashville lead at the break remains a realistic scenario. The full-time result is more strongly supported by Inter Miami, who won 80% of their matches this season compared with Nashville’s 38%, while averaging 1.70 goals after the break against 0.88 for the hosts. In their last five appearances, Miami led at half-time in 60% of matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals before the break, increasing the likelihood that they will equalise or take control after an evenly matched opening.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Miami is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nashville SC · 2.6 pts / match - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Nashville SC · 2.5 goals / match - Inter Miami
Nashville SC is 128% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.78 goals / match - Inter Miami
Nashville SC scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1.56 pts / match - Inter Miami
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.72 | 3.21 | ▲ 4.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 21% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 4:1 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?
Nashville SC score 1.94 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.50. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Nashville SC's matches and 72% of Inter Miami's.
What form are Nashville SC and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inter Miami 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?
The statistical background for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.