Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact: match statistics
Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC played Montreal Impact in MLS (United States). The match was played on 23 July 2026. Venue: GEODIS Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nashville SC: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Montreal Impact: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 2.13 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Montreal Impact scores 1.47 and concedes 2.07. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 47%, Montreal Impact 47%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 60%, Montreal Impact 73%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Montreal Impact has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.37. Nashville SC: 11.5 shots per match, Montreal Impact: 13.8.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.13. Montreal Impact: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 16-30 (7 goals). Montreal Impact: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville holds a clear advantage: this season the hosts have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, winning 88% of home matches and registering no defeats at home (Loss% 0). Offensively at home they score 3.0 goals per game on average, generate xG 1.54 and register 6.13 shots on target with a 23% conversion rate, while Montreal averages 1.5 goals away, has only 4.75 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate. Defensively the visitors are weak — they concede 3.0 goals on average away and allow 1.65 xG, with only 13% clean sheets on the road; the hosts concede 1.13 goals at home and keep 25% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Nashville has scored 11 goals and has a 4-1-0 record, averaging 2.6 pts/game, whereas Montreal has 8 goals and a 2-2-1 record with 1.6 pts/game, which confirms the hosts’ superiority in both efficiency and form.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
League stats and recent form favor the "Both Teams To Score" market: BTTS occurs in 61% of league matches, and in the last 5 games both teams recorded BTTS in 60% each. xG indicates realistic scoring chances for both sides: estimated xG for Nashville is around 1.62 (1.59 xG_for_home and 1.65 xG_against_away), and for Montreal about 1.28 (1.46 xG_for_away and 1.09 xG_against_home). Montreal defends poorly — conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game and 31 conceded this season, while Nashville have scored 32 goals at home and concede only 1.0 on average, so Nashville have a high probability of scoring. On the other hand Nashville fail to score in 29% of matches, and hosts’ season BTTS is 43% versus Montreal’s 50%, which partially tempers the signal for “Yes”. Considering the league 61%, recent 60% and balanced xG ~1.62 vs ~1.28, I assess BTTS at 65% (YES) vs 35% (NO).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 2.90 total goals: Nashville ~1.62 xG (xG_for 1.59 vs xG_against_away 1.65 → ~1.62) and Montreal ~1.28 xG (xG_for 1.46 vs xG_against_home 1.09 → ~1.28). Season trends show Montreal has 100% of matches Over 2.5 goals, while Nashville 43%; in the last 5 matches Nashville recorded Over 2.5 in 80% and Montreal in 60%, which together favor Over 2.5. Montreal concedes on average 3.0 goals per away match with xG_against 1.65, whereas Nashville has conceded only 11 goals at home this season while scoring 32, suggesting a high likelihood of goal exchanges. Additionally both teams average 14.14 and 13.5 shots per match with conversion around ~10–11%, increasing realistic chances of goals; therefore the best pick is Over 2.5 (I rate Over 2.5 at ~72%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics indicate a clear advantage for Nashville at the break: the hosts led at half-time in 57% of matches, whereas Montreal led in only 25% and were trailing after the first 45 minutes in 75% of cases. Defensively the visitors perform poorly — they concede on average 3.0 goals per match versus 1.0 conceded by the hosts, and xG shows 1.59 xG for Nashville against 1.65 xG conceded by Montreal, which supports goals for the hosts. In the last 5 fixtures Nashville won 80% of matches and averaged 1.0 goals at half-time, while Montreal managed only 0.2 goals at half-time in their last 5, confirming the hosts’ form and their ability to open the scoring quickly. For these reasons I assess the scenario of the hosts leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1) as the strongest — I assign it a 40% probability, with realistic alternatives being X/1 (13%) and 1/X (11%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1.2 pts / match - Montreal Impact
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.47 goals / match - Montreal Impact
Nashville SC is 184% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Nashville SC · 2.07 goals / match - Montreal Impact
Nashville SC scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Montreal Impact scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1.33 pts / match - Montreal Impact
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
Montreal Impact
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.87 | 3.31 | ▲ 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 22% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 1:0 Montreal Impact. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact?
Nashville SC score 2.13 goals per game on average and Montreal Impact 1.47. The MLS average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Nashville SC's matches and 47% of Montreal Impact's.
What form are Nashville SC and Montreal Impact in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Montreal Impact 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Montreal Impact?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.