Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia: match statistics
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nassaji Mazandaran played Navad Urmia in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 21 May 2026. Venue: Vatani Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Nassaji Mazandaran: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Navad Urmia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nassaji Mazandaran scores 1.38 and concedes 0.46 goals per match. Navad Urmia scores 0.65 and concedes 0.87. League average: 1.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nassaji Mazandaran 33%, Navad Urmia 39%. Over 2.5: Nassaji Mazandaran 38%, Navad Urmia 17%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 22%.
xG, shots and style
Nassaji Mazandaran has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.05. Nassaji Mazandaran: 5.0 shots per match, Navad Urmia: 1.5.
Match halves
Nassaji Mazandaran: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.83. Navad Urmia: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Nassaji Mazandaran: 61-75 (9 goals). Navad Urmia: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.51 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 22%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nassaji Mazandaran is the clear favorite to win: at home they average 2.17 xG and score 1.36 goals per match, while conceding just 0.27 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 82% of games. In comparison, Navad Urmia average 1.05 xG on the road, score 0.42 goals per away match and fail to score in 58% of fixtures, indicating significant problems in chance creation and finishing. The difference in quality of chances is also visible in shots: the hosts average 8.43 shots on target at home versus 3.0 on-target attempts for the visitors away, and a conversion rate of 11% versus 4% further amplifies Nassaji’s advantage. Additionally, the hosts sit 2nd with a home record of +12, while the visitors are 16th with an away record of -9 and a 67% away loss rate. Considering also the recent form—hosts averaging 1.6 points over the last 5 matches versus 0.8 points for the visitors—I back a Nassaji victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' (70% vs 30%) because the home side concedes just 0.55 goals per match while the away side scores only 0.42 goals per match — indicating a high probability the visitors will remain goalless. Homes have 45% clean sheets this season, and the visitors' season BTTS rate is only 33% versus the league BTTS of 32%, reinforcing a trend of low Goal/Goal occurrences. In the last 5 matches the home team averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded (6 scored/3 conceded), while the visitors had 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded (3/5), showing superior form for the hosts. Season totals (home 33 scored/11 conceded vs away 15 scored/20 conceded) and the visitors' xG of 1.05 compared with an actual 0.42 goals on an average of 8.5 shots confirm the away side's low finishing and strengthen the 'No' (No Goal) signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast points to a low-scoring game: expected goals Nassaji 1.04 vs Navad 0.49, total 1.53. This season Nassaji averages 0.91 goals scored per match (33 for, 11 against), while Navad averages 0.42 goals per match (15 for, 20 against), indicating a defensive advantage for the home side and limited attacking efficiency from the visitors. Historical metrics confirm low potential for a high-scoring game: matches over 3.5 goals are 0% for both teams, over 2.5 goals occur in only 9% of home matches and 25% of away matches, while under 2.5 appears in 91% and 75% of matches respectively. As a result the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (I assess a 98% probability for Under 3.5); Over 1.5 is moderately likely (~60%) given the projected total of 1.53 goals, whereas Over 2.5 is unlikely (~22%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nassaji scores an average of 0.91 goals per match and concedes 0.55, while Navad has only 0.42 goals scored and concedes 1.17 per match, indicating a clear defensive advantage for the hosts. The hosts led at the break in 36% of matches, and after 45 minutes 45% of first halves were level; meanwhile Nassaji finishes matches level in 64% of cases, while Navad wins only 8% of matches and loses 67%. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet at half-time in 73% of matches, and the proportion of matches in which both teams score by the break is only 9%, suggesting few goals before half-time and a high number of draws. For these reasons the strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X) — I assign this a 37% probability; the second option is the hosts converting a lead into a win (1/1) at 27%, and the third significant option is 2/X (18%), because the hosts were behind at the break in 18% of matches, so comebacks to a draw do occur.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nassaji Mazandaran | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 3% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.38 | 0.71 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 16.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nassaji Mazandaran is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nassaji Mazandaran · 0.8 pts / match - Navad Urmia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nassaji Mazandaran is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Nassaji Mazandaran · 0.65 goals / match - Navad Urmia
Nassaji Mazandaran is 89% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.46 goals / match - Nassaji Mazandaran · 0.87 goals / match - Navad Urmia
Nassaji Mazandaran scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Navad Urmia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Navad Urmia scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Nassaji Mazandaran keeps a clean sheet in 67% (16 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nassaji Mazandaran
Over / Under - Navad Urmia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nassaji Mazandaran is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Nassaji Mazandaran · 1.09 pts / match - Navad Urmia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nassaji Mazandaran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Navad Urmia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nassaji Mazandaran
Navad Urmia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Nassaji Mazandaran | Liga | Navad Urmia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.83 | 1.51 | • 1.52 |
| Both teams scored | • 33% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 58% | 56% | • 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nassaji Mazandaran 0 - 1 - 0 Navad Urmia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia?
The Azadegan League match finished Nassaji Mazandaran 2:0 Navad Urmia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia?
Nassaji Mazandaran score 1.38 goals per game on average and Navad Urmia 0.65. The Azadegan League average is 1.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Nassaji Mazandaran's matches and 39% of Navad Urmia's.
What form are Nassaji Mazandaran and Navad Urmia in?
Over the last 5 games Nassaji Mazandaran have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Navad Urmia 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Navad Urmia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.