National Bank of Egypt vs Haras El Hodood: match statistics
National Bank of Egypt vs Haras El Hodood: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
National Bank of Egypt played Haras El Hodood in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
National Bank of Egypt: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Haras El Hodood: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
National Bank of Egypt scores 0.90 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Haras El Hodood scores 0.71 and concedes 1.38. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: National Bank of Egypt 43%, Haras El Hodood 43%. Over 2.5: National Bank of Egypt 24%, Haras El Hodood 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
National Bank of Egypt has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.13. National Bank of Egypt: 11.9 shots per match, Haras El Hodood: 9.3.
Match halves
National Bank of Egypt: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52. Haras El Hodood: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
National Bank of Egypt: 76-90+ (6 goals). Haras El Hodood: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
National Bank of Egypt are favorites for this match: they sit 11th vs 18th for Haras El Hodood, have scored 19 goals this season compared to 15 for the opponents, and in the last 5 matches they scored 5 goals versus only 2 for the visitors. In attack the hosts create noticeably more chances — averaging 12.9 shots and 3 on target at home per game vs 9.2 and 2.6 for the visitors, while average xG is 1.37 vs 1.09, indicating higher quality chances. Defensively National Bank concedes 0.9 goals per home game with xG against 1.16, whereas Haras El Hodood concede 1.4 goals on the road with xG against 1.62; the visitors also score only 0.4 goals on average away and failed to score in 60% of their away matches. However, note the hosts draw frequently — 60% of home games end in a draw and their home win rate is only 10%, which, given an average of 1 point in the last 5 matches vs 0.8 for the visitors, suggests a potentially tight contest. Considering the higher xG (1.37 vs 1.09), greater shot volume (12.9 vs 9.2) and better defense (0.9 vs 1.4 conceded), I give the hosts a higher probability of victory, but with a significant draw risk.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Haras El Hodood averages only 0.4 goals per match (15 goals this season) and has a very low finishing rate of 4%, while National Bank of Egypt scores 1.0 goal on average (19 goals this season) and converts shots to goals at 11%. xG shows similar chance creation: home xG 1.16 vs away xG 1.09, but the hosts concede an average of 1.36 goals per match and have shipped 7 goals in the last 5 fixtures, providing opponents with scoring opportunities. The hosts have a season BTTS rate of 55% (60% in the last 5), whereas Haras has only 30% seasonally and 20% in the last 5, and the visitors have managed a total of 2 goals in their last five matches, which weakens the BTTS case. League-wide BTTS stands at 47%, but a high clean sheet rate of 68% suggests frequent matches without one of the teams scoring; given the low away goals average of 0.4 and the poor 4% conversion, the stronger signal is No Goal/clean sheet expected, hence a 'BTTS - No' at 65%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of 2.30 expected goals: 1.50 for National Bank of Egypt and 0.80 for Haras El Hodood. The home side has a seasonal goals average of 1.0 and xG 1.16 with 1.36 conceded on average, while the visitors record only 0.4 goals with xG 1.09 and 1.4 conceded — additionally shot conversion is 11% for the hosts vs 4% for the guests. Season-to-date percentages of matches over 1.5 are 64% for the hosts and 50% for the visitors, and the hosts’ last 5 matches show xG 1.51, so combining these indicators the Poisson model with a total of 2.30 yields ~67% probability for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is less certain: seasonally 55% of the hosts’ matches go Over 2.5 vs 20% for the guests, and the model estimates Over 2.5 at around 40% (Under 60%). Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈67%), based on higher xG and better conversion for the hosts and a high number of the hosts’ matches with more than 1 goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is a frequent scenario: hosts were level at the break in 36% of matches and visitors in 40%, with the hosts having a half-time draw rate of 40% in their last 5 fixtures. After the break National Bank of Egypt have the advantage — they score on average 0.45 goals after half-time compared to 0.10 for Haras El Hodood and average 1.18 points in second halves versus 0.7 for their opponents, which favors a turnaround from a draw to a home win. Over full matches the hosts score on average 1.00 goal per game versus 0.4 for the visitors, with similar xG (1.16 vs 1.09) but a markedly better shot conversion rate (11% vs 4%), indicating superior finishing. The league has a high clean sheet rate (68%), which supports low half-time scores and one-goal deciders; the hosts have clean sheets in 36% of matches this season. Therefore the most likely scenario is a half-time draw and a home win in the second half (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| National Bank of Egypt | Haras El Hodood | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
National Bank of Egypt is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - National Bank of Egypt · 0.8 pts / match - Haras El Hodood
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
National Bank of Egypt is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - National Bank of Egypt · 0.71 goals / match - Haras El Hodood
National Bank of Egypt is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - National Bank of Egypt · 1.38 goals / match - Haras El Hodood
National Bank of Egypt scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Haras El Hodood keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Haras El Hodood scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while National Bank of Egypt keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - National Bank of Egypt
Over / Under - Haras El Hodood
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
National Bank of Egypt is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - National Bank of Egypt · 0.81 pts / match - Haras El Hodood
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
National Bank of Egypt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Haras El Hodood - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
National Bank of Egypt
Haras El Hodood
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| National Bank of Egypt | Liga | Haras El Hodood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 35% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: National Bank of Egypt 0 - 0 - 1 Haras El Hodood. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of National Bank of Egypt vs Haras El Hodood?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished National Bank of Egypt 4:2 Haras El Hodood. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before National Bank of Egypt vs Haras El Hodood?
National Bank of Egypt score 0.90 goals per game on average and Haras El Hodood 0.71. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 43% of National Bank of Egypt's matches and 43% of Haras El Hodood's.
What form are National Bank of Egypt and Haras El Hodood in?
Over the last 5 games National Bank of Egypt have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Haras El Hodood 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for National Bank of Egypt vs Haras El Hodood?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for National Bank of Egypt vs Haras El Hodood: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.