Nations vs Aduana Stars: match statistics
Nations is showing impressive home form with a 56% win rate and just 0% defeats on their own ground, which is a key asset in this clash. The hosts have a significant advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and offensive efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.22 goals with an xG of 1.79, indicating an underestimation of their goal-scoring potential. Aduana Stars, despite being second in the table, shows weaker away form with only a 38% win rate and a low average of goals scored (0.88), coupled with a high FTS% rate of 38%. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 PPG), however, Nations has a better goal difference at home (+6) compared to Aduana's away goal difference (+1). Considering Nations' dominance in home matches, their xG advantage, and the visitors' problems converting chances away from home, the most likely scenario is a home victory, although Aduana's solid defense (38% clean sheets) could make it a close match.
Nations vs Aduana Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nations played Aduana Stars in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nations: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Aduana Stars: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nations scores 0.78 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Aduana Stars scores 1.00 and concedes 0.61. League average: 1.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nations 39%, Aduana Stars 33%. Over 2.5: Nations 28%, Aduana Stars 28%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Nations has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.31. Nations: 9.8 shots per match, Aduana Stars: 3.7.
Match halves
Nations: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.44. Aduana Stars: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Nations: 76-90+ (5 goals). Aduana Stars: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ghana Premier League: 1.86 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nations is showing impressive home form with a 56% win rate and just 0% defeats on their own ground, which is a key asset in this clash. The hosts have a significant advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and offensive efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.22 goals with an xG of 1.79, indicating an underestimation of their goal-scoring potential. Aduana Stars, despite being second in the table, shows weaker away form with only a 38% win rate and a low average of goals scored (0.88), coupled with a high FTS% rate of 38%. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 PPG), however, Nations has a better goal difference at home (+6) compared to Aduana's away goal difference (+1). Considering Nations' dominance in home matches, their xG advantage, and the visitors' problems converting chances away from home, the most likely scenario is a home victory, although Aduana's solid defense (38% clean sheets) could make it a close match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nations | Aduana Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.36 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.85 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aduana Stars is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Nations · 1.6 pts / match - Aduana Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aduana Stars is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Nations · 1 goals / match - Aduana Stars
Aduana Stars is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Nations · 0.61 goals / match - Aduana Stars
Nations scores in 50% of matches (9 of 18 matches), while Aduana Stars keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Aduana Stars scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Nations keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nations
Over / Under - Aduana Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nations is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nations · 0.72 pts / match - Aduana Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nations - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aduana Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nations
Aduana Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nations | Liga | Aduana Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 1.86 | ▼ 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 39% | 34% | • 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 28% | 29% | • 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nations 0 - 0 - 1 Aduana Stars. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nations vs Aduana Stars?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Nations 1:0 Aduana Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nations vs Aduana Stars?
Nations score 0.78 goals per game on average and Aduana Stars 1.00. The Ghana Premier League average is 1.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Nations's matches and 33% of Aduana Stars's.
What form are Nations and Aduana Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Nations have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aduana Stars 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nations vs Aduana Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nations vs Aduana Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.